2025 NRL Round 25 Betting Predictions
Friday night footy in Round 25 is headlined by potential finals previews as the Panthers tackle the Raiders and the Storm host the Doggies. Here is a betting preview of every game this weekend.
South Sydney Rabbitohs (15th) vs St. George Illawarra Dragons (12th)
The Rabbitohs head into their clash with the Dragons sitting 15th on the ladder with an 8-14 record, but they’ve finally found a bit of form with back-to-back wins. Last week they edged out the Eels 20-16 at the Sydney Football Stadium, showing some resilience in a tight contest. At home they’ve been patchy with a 5-6 record and on the road it’s been even tougher at 3-8. Statistically, it’s been a rough season in attack — they rank last in the NRL for both points and tries scored — but they’ve at least kept their mistakes down, sitting 14th for errors made. With two wins on the trot, Souths will be keen to keep the momentum rolling against the Dragons.
The Dragons head into their clash with the Rabbitohs sitting 12th on the ladder with an 8-13 record, still hanging around the mix but struggling for consistency. They’ve dropped three of their last five and are coming off a tight 14-10 loss to the Warriors at Mount Smart. At home they’ve been decent with a 6-4 record, but their away form has been poor at 2-9, which has really held them back this season. With finals hopes fading, the Dragons will be desperate to bounce back and grab some momentum against Souths.
Stadium Record
South Sydney are 1-4 in their last 5 games at this venue. St. George are 2-8 in their last 10 games at Accor Stadium.
Head to Head Record
In the last 10 meetings, the Rabbitohs hold a 7-3 record against the Dragons.
Best Bet
The Under is 6-0 when Souths are at home against the Dragons and the wet Sydney conditions should be tough for scoring.
Same Game Multi
The Dragons have been playing good footy lately. They've beaten the Raiders and Sharks, while almost upsetting the Warriors in NZ. So I think +8.5 is a very safe bet against Souths. Alex Johnston has scored in his last 4 games at Stadium Australia and the Bunnies would love to get him to the try-scoring record this season.
Under 40.5 pts / Dragons +8.5 / Alex Johnston Anytime Tryscorer = $6.75
Penrith Panthers (5th) vs Canberra Raiders (1st)
The Panthers head into their clash with the Raiders sitting 5th on the ladder with a 12-8 record and looking to bounce back after a narrow four-point loss to the Storm at Western Sydney Stadium. Despite that setback, they’ve been in good touch recently with four wins from their last five. At home they’ve been a bit patchy at 6-5, but their away form has been much stronger at 6-1-3. With finals around the corner, Penrith will be keen to hit back quickly and keep their momentum rolling.
The Raiders come into this clash with the Panthers sitting on top of the ladder with a dominant 17-4 record and plenty of confidence. They were too strong for Manly last week at Canberra Stadium, running out 28-12 winners in a solid all-round performance. At home they’ve been near unbeatable with a 10-1 record, while their away form has also been impressive at 7-3. Stat-wise, the Raiders have been one of the competition’s best attacking sides, ranking 3rd for points scored and 2nd for tries, while also keeping their mistakes down as the 16th-ranked team for errors. With four wins from their last five, they’ll be looking to keep the momentum rolling and make another statement against the Panthers.
Stadium Record
Canberra are 0-2 at this venue since 2010. Penrith are yet to play here.
Head to Head Record
In the last 5 meetings, the Panthers hold a 4-1 record against the Raiders.
Best Bet
I think this will be a defensive struggle and the Under is 8-1 in the Panthers last 9.
Melbourne Storm (2nd) vs Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs (3rd)
The Storm head into their clash with the Bulldogs sitting 2nd on the ladder with a 16-5 record and in red-hot form after four straight wins. They edged out the Panthers 22-18 in Round 24, showing once again why they’re one of the competition’s heavyweights. At home they’ve been rock solid with an 8-2 record, and they’ve matched that away from home with 8-3. Statistically, they’ve been the most dangerous attacking side in the NRL, leading the comp in both points and tries scored. With four wins from their last five and plenty of momentum, Melbourne will be looking to keep their streak going strong against the Bulldogs.
The Bulldogs head into their clash with the Storm sitting 3rd on the ladder with a 15-6 record, but they’ll be looking to bounce back after a 32-12 loss to the Roosters at the Sydney Football Stadium. They’ve still been solid overall with three wins from their last five, and their home form has been strong at 8-2, while they’ve also held up well on the road with a 7-4 record. With finals on the horizon, the Dogs will be eager to hit back quickly, but they’ll need to be at their best against a red-hot Melbourne outfit.
Stadium Record
Melbourne are 9-1 in their last 10 games at AAMI Park. Canterbury are 4-7 at this venue since 2010.
Head to Head Record
In the last 10 meetings, the Storm hold a 8-2 record against the Bulldogs.
Best Bet
Melbourne have a great record at home and come off a huge road win over the Panthers without Hughes. The Dogs are a bit hard to read and got smashed by the Roosters last week.
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles (10th) vs Dolphins (9th)
The Sea Eagles head into their clash with the Dolphins sitting 10th on the ladder with a 9-12 record and desperately needing a turnaround. They’ve lost their last four on the trot and only managed one win from their past five, with their most recent outing a 26-12 defeat to the Tigers at the Sydney Football Stadium. At home they’ve been decent with a 6-4 record, but their away form has been poor at 3-8. With finals hopes slipping away, Manly will be desperate to bounce back and snap their losing streak against the Dolphins.
The Dolphins head into their clash with the Sea Eagles sitting 9th on the ladder with a 10-11 record, still right in the hunt for finals but needing to steady up after back-to-back losses. Last week they went down 38-28 to the Broncos at Lang Park in a high-scoring affair. They’ve been fairly even across the board this season with a 5-5 home record and 5-6 away, but their attacking stats stand out — they rank 2nd in the NRL for points scored and 3rd for tries, while also keeping their errors low at 14th in the comp. With two wins from their last five, the Dolphins will be looking to bounce back quickly and keep their finals hopes alive against Manly.
Stadium Record
Manly are 6-4 in their last 10 games at 4 Pines Park. The Dolphins are 0-1 at this venue since 2023.
Head to Head Record
Since 2010, the head to head is tied at 1-1.
Best Bet
The Sea Eagles are out of form and haven't covered in their last 4. So I like the Dolphins to get a road upset as they can still make the finals.
Gold Coast Titans (17th) vs New Zealand Warriors (4th)
The Titans head into their clash with the Warriors sitting 17th on the ladder with a 5-16 record, and it’s been another tough stretch with three straight losses. Last week they were blown away by the Sharks 54-22 at Sharks Stadium, highlighting their defensive struggles. At home they’ve only managed two wins from 10 games, while their away record isn’t much better at 3-8. With just one win from their last five, Gold Coast will be desperate to find some form and restore a bit of pride when they take on the Warriors.
The Warriors come into their clash with the Titans sitting 4th on the ladder with a solid 13-8 record, though their recent form has been a bit patchy with two wins from their last five. They’re coming off a tight 14-10 win over the Dragons at Mount Smart, grinding out a result in a low-scoring contest. At home they’ve been steady with a 7-4 record and just as strong away at 6-4. One of their big strengths this year has been discipline, ranking 17th in the NRL for errors made, which has helped them stay consistent. With finals around the corner, the Warriors will be looking to build some momentum and take care of business against the struggling Titans.
Stadium Record
Gold Coast are 1-4 in their last 5 games at this venue. New Zealand are 4-6 in their last 10 games at this venue.
Head to Head Record
The Titans are 4-1 against the Warriors in the last 5.
Best Bet
In the last 6 meetings, the Titans are 5-1 as an underdog and also beat them in NZ this season. They could surprise the Warriors.
Gold Coast Titans +3.5 = $1.95
Parramatta Eels (14th) vs Sydney Roosters (8th)
The Eels head into their clash with the Roosters sitting 14th on the ladder with a 7-14 record, and it’s been a tough season on both sides of the ball. They went down 20-16 to the Rabbitohs at the Sydney Football Stadium last week in a game that slipped away late. At home they’ve managed just four wins from 10 games, while their away record sits at 3-8. Statistically, it’s been a real struggle in attack — they rank 15th in the NRL for both points and tries scored — and errors have also hurt them, sitting 3rd worst in the comp. With only two wins from their last five, the Eels will need to sharpen up quickly if they’re any chance of knocking off the Roosters.
The Roosters head into their matchup with the Eels sitting 8th on the ladder with an 11-10 record and riding a three-game winning streak. They were too strong for the Bulldogs last week at the Sydney Football Stadium, running out 32-12 winners in a solid display. Their attack has been a big weapon this season, ranking 4th in the NRL for both points and tries scored, though errors have been an issue with the side sitting 3rd worst in that area. At home they’ve been shaky at 5-6, but their away form has held up better at 6-4. With three wins from their last five and momentum on their side, the Roosters will be looking to keep their run going against the Eels.
Stadium Record
Parramatta are 5-5 in their last 10 games at CommBank. Sydney are 8-2 in their last 10 games at this venue.
Head to Head Record
In the last 10 meetings, the Roosters have won 8 games against the Eels.
Best Bet
The Roosters are one of the hottest sides in the NRL and I think they handle the Eels comfortably.
Newcastle Knights (16th) vs Brisbane Broncos (6th)
The Knights head into their clash with the Broncos down in 16th spot on the ladder with a 6-15 record and struggling badly, having lost their last six games. Their most recent outing was a 38-4 thrashing at the hands of the Cowboys up in North Queensland, and they’ve gone winless in their last five. At home they’ve been poor with just two wins from 11 games, though they’ve been slightly better away at 4-6. Statistically, it hasn’t been much better — they lead the NRL in errors and rank 17th for both points and tries scored, highlighting their struggles in attack. With confidence at rock bottom, Newcastle face a massive challenge against the Broncos.
The Broncos head into their clash with the Knights sitting 6th on the ladder with a 12-9 record and coming off a solid 38-28 win over the Dolphins at Lang Park. They’ve picked up three wins from their last five and have been tough to beat at home with an 8-3 record, though they’ve been a bit shaky on the road at 4-6. Attack has been their biggest strength this year — they rank 4th in the NRL for points scored and 5th for tries — but errors have been an issue, sitting 5th worst in the comp. Up against a struggling Newcastle side, Brisbane will be looking to flex their attacking power and keep pushing for a strong finals spot.
Stadium Record
Newcastle are 1-9 in their last 10 games at this venue. Brisbane are 3-2 in their last 5 games at this venue.
Head to Head Record
The Broncos are 5-0 against the Knights in the last 5 meetings.
Best Bet
The Over is 9-0 in the Broncos last 9 interstate games and the Knights will likely struggle to stop their attack.
Wests Tigers (11th) vs North Queensland Cowboys (13th)
The Tigers head into their clash with the Cowboys sitting 11th on the ladder with a 9-12 record, but they’ve started to build a bit of momentum with back-to-back wins. Last week they knocked off the Sea Eagles 26-12 at the Sydney Football Stadium in a strong performance. Their season overall has been patchy, going 5-6 at home and 4-6 on the road, while their attack has been a weak spot — ranking 14th in the NRL for both points and tries scored. Still, with three wins from their last five and some confidence building, the Tigers will fancy their chances of keeping the run going against North Queensland.
The Cowboys head into their matchup with the Tigers sitting 13th on the ladder with an 8-13 record, but they’ll take some confidence from last week’s big 38-4 win over the Knights at North Queensland Stadium. That result snapped a tough run, though they’ve still only managed two wins from their last five. At home they’ve been hit-and-miss with a 5-1-5 record, while away from home they’ve struggled badly at 3-8. Errors have been a major issue all season, with the Cowboys ranking 2nd worst in the NRL in that area. They’ll need to clean things up if they want to back up last week’s big win against the Tigers.
Stadium Record
Wests are 3-2 in their last 5 games at this venue. North Queensland are 2-3 in their last 5 games at Leichhardt Oval.
Head to Head Record
In the last 10, the Cowboys are 7-3 against the Tigers.
Best Bet
I also like the Over between these two, it's 7-0 in the last 7 meetings.
