2025 NRL Round 14 Betting Predictions
Round 14 of the NRL season continues on Thursday night with a crucial rivalry matchup between the Knights and Sea Eagles in Newcastle. Here is a preview of every game this weekend around the NRL.
Newcastle Knights (15th) vs Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles (7th)
The Knights come into this clash with the Sea Eagles having won just two of their last five games, sitting at 4-8 for the season. They're on a one-game losing streak after going down 20-6 to the Dragons at Jubilee Stadium. Home form’s been a worry too, with only one win from five games in front of their own fans. Overall, they’re sitting 15th on the ladder, and while they’ve done slightly better on the road (3-4), they’ve got a few issues to sort out. The Knights are leading the league in errors and really struggling in attack – they’re ranked dead last for both points and tries scored.
The Sea Eagles head into their match against the Knights sitting seventh on the ladder with a 6-6 record. They’ve won three of their last five and are coming off a big 34-6 win over the Broncos at Brookvale, snapping a solid one-game win streak. They've been decent at home with four wins from seven, but away from home they're a bit patchier at 2-3. One of their strengths this season has been ball control — they’re ranked 16th in the NRL for errors made, which has helped them stay competitive in tight games.
Stadium Record
Newcastle are 5-5 in their last 10 games at Newcastle. Manly are 1-4 in their last 5 games at this venue.
Head to Head Record
In the last 10, the Knights hold a 6-3 (1 draws) record.
Best Bet
The Knights are hard to watch in attack and as a result, the Under has saluted in their last 10 games. I think the trend continues in night conditions against a Manly side that belted the Broncos and only conceded 1 try last week.
Same Game Multi
I still think the Knights can cover the line at home. The underdog is 6-0 when these two sides meet and Manly haven't covered in their last 8 games when they're coming off a win. That should work into the Knights favour of keeping the margin under 7.5 pts. Garrick to score 6 or more pts seems like a safe bet. He's kicked 3 or more goals in 10 of 12 games this season. If he crosses the line, this will be an easy bet.
Uner 44.5 pts / Knights +7.5 / Garrick 6+ pts = $6.00
Melbourne Storm (4th) vs North Queensland Cowboys (6th)
The Storm head into their clash with the Cowboys sitting nicely in 4th spot on the ladder with a 7-4 record. They’ve won three of their last five and are coming off a solid 28-16 win over the Titans in Round 13. They’ve been strong at home this season with five wins from six, while their away form has been a bit shakier at 2-3. Offensively, they’re firing — ranked first in the NRL for both points and tries scored, so they’ll be confident heading into this one on the back of some strong attacking form.
The Cowboys take on the Storm sitting in 6th spot on the ladder with a 5-5 record. They’re coming off a tight 32-28 win over the Wests Tigers at home and have gone 2-1-2 over their last five. At home this season, they’ve been solid, with three wins, one draw, and two losses, while their away form sits at 2-3. They’ve got some firepower in attack, ranking 5th in the NRL for tries scored, but ball control has been a bit of an issue — they’re second in the comp for errors made. They'll need to tighten that up against a sharp Storm side.
Stadium Record
Melbourne are 9-1 in their last 10 games at AAMI Park. North Queensland are 0-2 at this venue since 2018.
Head to Head Record
The Cowboys are 3-2 against the Storm in the last 5 meetings.
Best Bet
The Over is usually a nice bet when the Storm playing at home, it's 7-1 in their last 8 at AAMI Park and the Cowboys don't have the best defensive record.
Dolphins (10th) vs St. George Illawarra Dragons (8th)
The Dolphins head into their clash with the Dragons sitting 10th on the ladder with a 5-7 record. They snapped a losing run with a huge 44-8 win over the Bulldogs in Round 12, which should give them a confidence boost. Over their last five games, they’ve gone 2-3, and while their home form hasn’t been great (2-3), they’ve done slightly better on the road with three wins from seven. One of their biggest strengths is in attack — they’re ranked 4th in the NRL for points scored, so they definitely have the firepower to cause problems.
The Dragons come into this one against the Dolphins sitting 8th on the ladder with a 5-6 record and some momentum behind them after back-to-back wins. They knocked off the Knights 20-6 at Jubilee Stadium last round and have gone 2-3 over their last five. At home they’ve split their games 3-3, and they’ve been a bit shaky on the road with a 2-3 record. One area they’ll need to tidy up is handling errors — they’re ranked 5th in the league for most mistakes, which could be costly against a strong-scoring Dolphins side.
Stadium Record
The Dolphins are 5-5 in their last 10 games at Suncorp. St. George are 2-8 in their last 10 games at this venue.
Head to Head Record
The head to head is tied at 2-2.
Best Bet
The Under has a 3-0 record when these two sides play in their 4 meetings and night conditions should slow ball movement.
Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks (5th) vs New Zealand Warriors (3rd)
The Sharks head into their clash with the Warriors sitting 5th on the ladder with a 7-5 record. They’ve won three of their last five but are coming off a tough 42-16 loss to the Roosters at Central Coast Stadium. At home, though, they’ve been strong with four wins from five, and they'll be looking to bounce back quickly. One of their big weapons is their attack — they’re ranked 3rd in the NRL for tries scored and can pile on points when they’re on. Their away form hasn’t been quite as sharp at 3-4, but back on home turf, they’ll fancy their chances.
The Warriors roll into this one against the Sharks in hot form, sitting 3rd on the ladder with a strong 9-3 record. They’ve won four of their last five and are coming off a 36-30 win over the Rabbitohs in Round 13. They’ve been solid both home and away, with a 5-1 record at home and 4-2 on the road. One of their biggest strengths this season has been ball control — they’re ranked 17th in the NRL for errors made, which has helped them stay consistent. With momentum on their side, they’ll be a tough side for the Sharks to handle.
Stadium Record
Cronulla are 6-4 in their last 10 games at Shark Park. New Zealand are 2-2 at this venue since 2018.
Head to Head Record
In the last 10, the Sharks hold a 6-4 record.
Best Bet
I think the Warriors will be fired up for this clash and the underdog has a 5-0 record at Shark Park.
New Zealand Warriors +5.5 = $1.90
Brisbane Broncos (11th) vs Gold Coast Titans (17th)
The Broncos head into their matchup with the Titans needing a turnaround, sitting 11th on the ladder with a 5-7 record and stuck in a four-game losing streak. They were well beaten by the Sea Eagles last round, going down 34-6 at Brookvale. Over their last five, they’ve only picked up one win, and their away form hasn’t helped — they’re just 2-5 on the road. At home, they’ve been a bit more reliable with a 3-2 record. Despite the recent slump, they’re still ranked 4th in the NRL for points scored, so the attack is there — they just need to tighten up the rest.
The Titans head into their clash with the Broncos at the bottom of the ladder in 17th, with a 3-8 record and just one win from their last five games. They’re coming off a 12-point loss to the Storm at Robina and are on a two-game losing streak. Home form hasn’t been great (1-4), and they haven’t fared much better on the road at 2-4. Scoring’s been a real issue this season — they’re ranked 14th in the NRL for both points and tries scored, which has made it tough for them to stay in games. They'll need something special to bounce back here.
Stadium Record
Brisbane are 5-5 in their last 10 games at Suncorp. Gold Coast are 10-9 at this venue since 2018.
Head to Head Record
In the last 10 meetings, the Titans have won 6 games against the Broncos.
Best Bet
I like the Titans in the M1 Derby, they showed some spirit against the Storm last week and love beating the Broncos. The underdog is also 10-0 against the Broncos.
Gold Coast Titans +10.5 = $1.85
Canberra Raiders (2nd) vs South Sydney Rabbitohs (9th)
The Raiders are flying high right now, sitting 2nd on the ladder with a solid 10-3 record this season. They've been impressive both home and away, winning five of six at home and five of seven on the road. They’re coming off a tight 26-24 win over the Roosters in Round 13 and are on a three-game winning streak. One thing working in their favour is how well they handle the ball — they’re ranked 15th in the NRL for errors made, which is pretty good. Plus, their attack is firing, sitting 2nd in the league for both points and tries scored. They’ll be tough to stop.
The Rabbitohs head into their game against the Raiders sitting 9th on the ladder with a 6-6 record. They’ve been a bit patchy lately, going 2-3 over their last five and coming off a narrow 36-30 loss to the Warriors at Stadium Australia. Their home form is fairly even at 4-3, but they’ve struggled a bit on the road with a 2-3 record. One area they need to improve is scoring — they’re ranked 16th in the NRL for both points and tries scored, so they’ll have to find a way to fire up their attack against a strong Raiders side.
Stadium Record
Canberra are 7-3 in their last 10 games at Canberra Stadium. South Sydney are 1-4 in their last 5 games at this venue.
Head to Head Record
In the last 5 meetings, the Raiders hold a 4-1 record against the Rabbitohs.
Best Bet
Souths have an 0-11 record against top 4 sides so I think the Raiders continue their momentum at home.
Wests Tigers (13th) vs Penrith Panthers (14th)
The Tigers head into their game against the Panthers sitting 13th on the ladder with a 5-7 record. They’re on a bit of a rough patch, having lost three in a row, including a close 32-28 loss to the Cowboys at North Queensland Stadium. Over their last five games, they’ve managed just two wins. Their home form hasn’t been great either, with two wins and four losses, while they’ve been a bit steadier on the road at 3-3. They’ll need to find some form quick if they want to turn things around against the Panthers.
The Panthers come into this one against the Tigers sitting 14th on the ladder with a 4-7 record. They’re on a bit of an up after a close 18-10 win over the Eels at Western Sydney Stadium and have won one of their last five games, with a couple of draws mixed in. Their home form is a bit shaky at 3-4, and away they’re pretty mixed with one win, one loss, and three draws. One area they’ll want to fix is their handling — they’re ranked 4th in the league for errors made, which has cost them in tight games.
Stadium Record
Wests are 5-5 in their last 10 games at CommBank Stadium. Penrith are 2-3 in their last 5 games at this venue.
Head to Head Record
Since 2018, the Panthers are 7-3 against the Tigers.
Best Bet
The Under has a perfect 10-0 record when these two sides meet and the Panthers don't have the best record here, which should help the Tigers contain their scoring.
Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs (1st) vs Parramatta Eels (16th)
The Bulldogs sit comfortably at the top of the ladder with a strong 9-2 record this season, but they’re coming off a tough 36-point loss to the Dolphins at Stadium Australia. Despite that slip-up, they’ve been solid overall, especially when it comes to scoring — they’re ranked 3rd in the NRL for both points and tries scored. Their away form has been impressive too, with five wins and just one loss, while at home they’re 4-1. They’ve won three of their last five games, but that recent loss means they’ll be keen to bounce back against the Eels.
The Eels are struggling this season, sitting 16th on the ladder with a 4-8 record. They’ve had a tough time scoring, ranked 15th in the NRL for both points and tries, which has really held them back. Their recent form isn’t great either, with two wins and three losses in their last five games, including a close 18-10 loss to the Panthers at Western Sydney Stadium. They’ve struggled both at home and away, going 2-4 in both, and they’ll be looking to snap a one-game losing streak when they take on the Bulldogs.
Stadium Record
Canterbury are 6-4 in their last 10 games at this venue. In their last 5 games at Stadium Australia, Parramatta holds a 2-3 record.
Head to Head Record
In the last 10, the Eels are 7-3 against the Bulldogs.
Best Bet
It's usually a tough contest between these two teams and the Under has gone 5-0 in the Eels last 5 games, so look for a fairly low scoring game to finish the round.
