Arizona Cardinals v Denver Broncos
Friday, October 19 10:20am at Glendale
The Cardinals and Broncos meet on Friday morning with both teams looking for winning form. For the home side, they’re just 1-5 on the season but have been competitive in their last 2 at home. They lost via a field goal against the Seahawks in Week 4 and went down by 2 points to the Bears previously. It’s a similar story for the Broncos. In fact all 4 of their home games have finished under a 5 point margin as they hold a 2-2 home record. But when they hit the road in 2018, they’ve been no match for the Jets and Ravens. In both of those losses, they’ve been outscored 30-61. In this matchup, high scoring affairs has been the trend and that shouldn’t change on the back of a short week. Since 2010, the average total in the two meetings has been 58.5 points and the winning team has scored 40+ points in each game. Another interesting fact about this game is both these defences rank last in the NFL for rush yards per game. So with the Cardinals sticking with a Rookie QB, the running game will be the key with David Johnson. Case Keenum has the potential to score points against the Cardinals D and they should have success with Lindsay/Freeman in the backfield. So I’m liking the total points of Over 40.5 for this game.
Stadium Record
Arizona are looking for their first home victory of the season after 3 straight losses. Denver last played here in 2010 and were no match for the home side in a 43-13 loss.
Head to Head Record
Since 2001, Denver own a 4-1 record against the Cardinals. They last met in 2014 and the Broncos thrashed them 41-20.
Best Bet
Baltimore Ravens v New Orleans Saints
Monday, October 22 6:05am at Baltimore
The 4-1 New Orleans Saints head to Baltimore for an intriguing clash against the 4-2 Ravens. Baltimore is coming off a 21-0 road shutout of the Titans and they have been dominant at home already this season. Against the Bills and Broncos, they’ve allowed 17 total points and have scored 74 points on offence. But Drew Brees is coming to town and is coming off a record breaking game before the bye. He became the #1 ranked QB in NFL history in terms of passing yards! So he’ll be the key in the Saints getting past this elite Ravens D. Thus far, the Saints are the number 1 ranked scoring team in the league and rank 3rd for passing yards. Brees has already tossed 11 touchdowns and his weapons are hard to stop. So I’m predicting a high scoring affair in this contest. The Ravens offence has scored 37 points per game so far at home and Joe Flacco should exploit the Saints weak defence. They’re giving up 297 pass yards per game, which ranks 30th in the NFL. It’s highly doubtful this game will feature a running game as both sides rank inside the top 3 for rush yards allowed. Which means both Flacco and Brees will be airing it out. The 48.5 total point mark looks the best bet.
Stadium Record
The Saints last played in Baltimore in 2010 and they went down 30-24. This season, the Ravens are 2-0 at home and have covered the line in both.
Head to Head Record
Baltimore has won 3 straight against the Saints and 4-1 since 1999. The last matchup was back in 2014 and the Ravens won 34-27.
Best Bet
Kansas City Chiefs v Cincinnati Bengals
Monday, October 22 10:20am at Kansas City
The Kansas City Chiefs return to Monday’s feature NFL game and they will host the Bengals at Arrowhead Stadium. Both sides are in contention for the playoffs thus far after a good start to the year. The Chiefs almost stole a victory in Foxborough last week but just couldn’t get past Tom Brady in a 43-40 loss. Mahomes ended up tossing 4 touchdown passes but will rue a few early interceptions. Tyreek Hill and Kareem Hunt proved unstoppable on the ground and air as the Chiefs offence continued their high scoring ways. They’re the number 2 scoring team in the NFL and Mahomes leads the NFL with 18 touchdowns in just his first full season as a starter. Meanwhile, the Bengals are leading the AFC North with a 4-2 record. They were incredibly unlucky last week as the Steelers stole victory in the last 10 seconds. But the Bengals should be confident of keeping up with the Chiefs high powered offence on the road. Bengals QB Andy Dalton has 14 touchdowns on the season with 279 passing yards per game. They’re 6th in the NFL for points scored and will enjoy facing the Chiefs 31st ranked pass defence. Both these sides aren’t big on playing defence as they rank near the bottom of the league for points allowed. So that should turn this into another high scoring but close affair with the Bengals covering the line. Cinci has a 4-0 record against the Chiefs and they’re 5-2 against the line on the road in their last 7 overall games.
Stadium Record
Kansas City has won both games at home this year against the 49ers and Jaguars. Cincinnati last travelled to KC in 2012 and came away with a 28-6 victory.
Head to Head Record
The Bengals won the last matchup in 2015, 36-21. Since 2008, the Bengals own a 4-0 record against them.
Best Bet
Atlanta Falcons v New York Giants
Tuesday, October 23 10:15am at Atlanta
The NFL action for the week concludes in Atlanta with two NFC teams that need to urgently get going. The home side is 2-4 on the season and have a 1-3 record in their last 4. But a 34-29 win over the Bucs last week has given them some hope of reaching the playoffs. Matt Ryan has been excellent under centre for the Falcons, tossing 14 touchdowns with just 2 interceptions. So the main issue is the defence, which is currently one of the worst units in the NFL. They’ve given the 2nd most points per game and rank lowly for both pass/rush yards allowed. But this looks like a good matchup for the Falcons as they face the Giants mediocre offence. Eli Manning is behind one of the worst offensive lines in the game and he’s currently the 3rd most sacked QB in the NFL. His numbers are still quite good but it’s really impacting the Giants scoring options. The main talking point in this 1-5 start to the season is future star RB Saquon Barkley. The rookie has pulled off some incredible plays this year and looks like he’ll become one of the best draft picks of 2018. In the end, this is a tough game to pick. The bookies are favouring the Falcons at home and they should win this. But I like the chances of this game going unders. When the Giants travel to Atlanta, the under is a perfect 5-0. In the last 11 overall meetings, the under is again positive with a 10-1 record. The Giants last 13 games are 9-4 against the under and 4-2 when they travel.
Stadium Record
Atlanta has played in a number of close games at home this season and hold a 2-2 record. The Giants last game in Atlanta was in 2012 and they were shutout 34-0.
Head to Head Record
Since 2009, the Giants hold a 3-2 record against the Falcons. They last met in 2015 and the Falcons just sealed a 24-20 win in New York.
Best Bet
Other NFL Week 7 Tips:
| Game | Venue | Best Bet |
|---|---|---|
| Tennessee Titans at Los Angeles Chargers | London (Wembley) | UNDER 48.5 points $1.62 |
| New England Patriots at Chicago Bears | Chicago | OVER 46.5 points $1.65 |
| Buffalo Bills at Indianapolis Colts | Indianapolis | Colts -6.5 $1.74 |
| Detroit Lions at Miami Dolphins | Miami Gardens | No Odds |
| Minnesota Vikings at New York Jets | East Rutherford | Jets +4.5 $1.76 |
| Carolina Panthers at Philadelphia Eagles | Philadelphia | Over 42.5 points $1.60 |
| Cleveland Browns at Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Tampa | OVER 48.5 points $1.78 |
| Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars | Jacksonville | Texans +6 $1.82 |
| Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins | Washington | Cowboys +3.5 $1.60 |
| Los Angeles Rams at San Francisco 49ers | Santa Clara | OVER 50.5 points $1.71 |
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