2025 NRL Round 7 Betting Predictions
Round 7 of the NRL season is here and we kick off things with a crucial battle between the Sea Eagles and Dragons at Brooky on Thursday night footy.
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles (8th) vs St. George Illawarra Dragons (10th)
The Sea Eagles head into this clash against the Dragons sitting right on the edge of the top eight, holding onto 8th spot. They’ve got the firepower in attack — ranked 4th in the comp for total points and 3rd for tries — but scoring is an issue without Tommy Turbo at fullback. But ball control definitely is, with the team ranked 16th for errors, which has cost them big in recent weeks. They’re coming off a close 24-18 loss to the Sharks over in Perth and are now on a two-game skid.
The Dragons are sitting just outside the top eight in 10th and will be looking to build on last week’s big 38-16 win over the Titans in Wollongong. That result snapped a bit of a rough patch after losing to the lowly Eels, and they’ll be hoping to keep the momentum going. Their season record is 2-3, with both wins coming at home, while they’ve only played once on the road — a loss. In attack, they’ve scored 118 points this season and conceded 100, so they’ve been competitive, but discipline is still an issue, sitting 5th in the league for most errors. Still, with a bit of confidence behind them and playing a Sea Eagles side that’s been shaky, the Dragons might just fancy their chances here.
Stadium Record
Manly are 8-2 in their last 10 games at Brookvale. St. George are 0-2 at this venue since 2018.
Head to Head Record
In the last 10, the Dragons are 6-4 against the Sea Eagles.
Best Bet
The Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings and the Sea Eagles are missing Tommy Turbo in attack.
Same Game Multi
I think the Dragons can surprise the Sea Eagles, they've beaten the Storm in recent weeks and smashed the Titans last week.
Under 48.5 pts / Dragons +5.5 = $3.00
Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs (1st) vs South Sydney Rabbitohs (5th)
The Bulldogs are absolutely flying right now — unbeaten after five rounds and sitting pretty at the top of the ladder. They've been dominant on both ends of the field, racking up 124 points while only conceding 58. Their most recent performance was a statement win, shutting out the Knights 20-0 at Stadium Australia. They're on a five-game win streak and have looked solid no matter where they play, with a perfect 3-0 record on the road and 2-0 at home. With the Rabbitohs up next, the Bulldogs are in red-hot form and showing no signs of slowing down.
The Rabbitohs head into this one sitting 5th on the ladder with a solid 4-2 record, but they're coming off a tough 8-point loss to the Cowboys in Perth. Overall, they've been pretty consistent, winning 3 of their last 5 and showing strong form at home with a 3-0-1 record. Away from home, they're 1-0-1, so not too bad on the road either. While they’ve conceded slightly more points than they’ve scored this season, one of their biggest strengths has been ball control — they rank 15th in the NRL for errors, which is a good sign heading into a tough clash with the in-form Bulldogs. They’ll need to be sharp to bounce back and hand the ladder leaders their first loss.
Stadium Record
Canterbury are 7-3 in their last 10 games at this venue. South Sydney are 5-5 in their last 10 games at Stadium Australia.
Head to Head Record
In the last 10, the Rabbitohs are 8-2 against the Bulldogs.
Best Bet
The Dogs are strong defensively and Souths are 6-0 against the Under.
Dolphins (14th) vs Melbourne Storm (2nd)
The Dolphins are starting to find their groove after a slow start, coming into this clash with the Storm on a two-game winning streak. They’re sitting 14th on the ladder with a 2-4 record, but recent form has been promising — especially their big 30-12 win over the Panthers at Lang Park last week. They’ve scored 122 points this season and conceded 114, so they’re keeping things competitive on both ends. Home and away, they’ve been a bit up and down, but back-to-back wins suggest they're building some momentum. Taking on the Storm won’t be easy, but the Dolphins might just be a smoky if they can keep this form going.
The Storm are rolling into this matchup against the Dolphins in red-hot form, sitting 2nd on the ladder with a 4-1 record and riding a two-game win streak. They absolutely dismantled the Warriors last week with a 42-14 win at home, and it’s no surprise considering they’re ranked 1st in the NRL for both points and tries scored. With 184 points already this season and just 94 conceded, they’re dominating on both sides of the ball. They’ve been flawless at home and solid on the road, and with four wins from their last five, the Storm are looking like serious title contenders. The Dolphins are showing signs of life, but Melbourne’s firepower will be a serious test.
Stadium Record
The Dolphins are 5-5 in their last 10 games at Suncorp. Melbourne are 4-1 in their last 5 games at this venue.
Head to Head Record
The Storm are 3-0 against the Dolphins since 2018.
Best Bet
The Dolphins had a huge win over the Panthers at home last time and I think they can keep it close against the Storm. At home as underdogs, the Fins are 4-0 ATS.
New Zealand Warriors (6th) vs Brisbane Broncos (3rd)
The Warriors are sitting 6th on the ladder with a 3-2 record heading into their clash with the Broncos, but they’ll be looking to bounce back after a tough 42-14 loss to the Storm in Melbourne. That result snapped a decent run of form where they’d picked up three wins from their last five. They've been solid at home and a bit shaky on the road, but one big positive is their discipline — they rank 17th in the NRL for errors made, which is a major strength. With 98 points scored and 118 conceded, they’ll need to tighten things up defensively if they want to hold their spot in the top eight and take down a dangerous Broncos side.
The Broncos roll into this one sitting 3rd on the ladder with a 4-2 record, despite coming off a 10-point loss to the Roosters at Lang Park. That result snapped a decent run of form, but overall they’ve been one of the most dangerous attacking sides in the comp — ranked 2nd for both points and tries scored, with 180 points already this season. They’ve been consistent both at home and away, with 2-0-1 records in each. Defensively, there’s room to improve after conceding 124 points so far, but their ability to pile on tries keeps them in games. Up against a Warriors side that’s tidy with the ball but just got rolled by the Storm, the Broncos will back themselves to bounce back strong.
Stadium Record
New Zealand are 5-4 (1 draw) in their last 10 games at Mount Smart. Brisbane are 2-1 at this venue since 2018.
Head to Head Record
In the last 5 meetings, the Warriors hold a 3-2 record against the Broncos.
Best Bet
The Warriors love playing at home and I think that advantage should give them a good chance of an upset. Brisbane are just 4-16 ATS in their last 20 and were poor against Sydney last week.
New Zealand Warriors +8.5 = $1.90
Sydney Roosters (15th) vs Penrith Panthers (16th)
The Roosters finally got back on the winners list in Round 6 with a solid 26-16 upset over the Broncos, snapping a rough patch and giving them a bit of a confidence boost heading into this clash with the Panthers. They’re still sitting down at 15th on the ladder with a 2-4 record and have struggled to find consistency, especially at home where they’re yet to grab a win. Offensively, they’ve been one of the lower-scoring teams in the comp, and discipline has been a major issue — they rank 3rd for most errors made. That said, both of their wins have come away from home, so they’ve shown they can grind out results on the road. It’ll take a big effort to knock off the Panthers, but the Roosters have shown they’ve still got some fight in them.
The Panthers are in a tough spot heading into their match against the Roosters, sitting at 16th on the ladder with just one win from six games. Their recent form has been dismal, on a five-game losing streak and coming off a 30-12 loss to the Dolphins at Lang Park. They’ve had problems with both attack and defence, scoring 132 points but conceding 170 so far this season. At home, they’ve been slightly better with a 1-0-2 record, but their away form has been a concern. One of their biggest weaknesses has been discipline, as they’re ranked 2nd in the league for errors made, which has put them under pressure in games. It’s been a rough stretch for the Panthers, but they'll need to turn things around quickly if they’re to stay in the finals hunt.
Stadium Record
Sydney are 6-4 in their last 10 games at SFS. Penrith are 2-2 at this venue since 2018.
Head to Head Record
Since 2018, the Panthers are 11-3 against the Roosters.
Best Bet
Both sides are struggling but I think the Roosters deserve to be favourites at home. So it wouldn't surprise me if the Chooks continue the Panthers woes.
Gold Coast Titans (11th) vs Canberra Raiders (4th)
The Titans are coming into their clash with the Raiders looking to bounce back from a tough 38-16 loss to the Dragons in Wollongong. Sitting 11th on the ladder with a 2-3 record, they’ve been a bit up and down this season. They’ve managed to grab one win each at home and away, but they’re currently on a two-game losing streak. With just 106 points scored and 132 conceded, their attack has been struggling, and defensively, they’ve been leaking points. They’ll need to find some consistency in both areas if they want to challenge the Raiders and stay in touch with the top eight.
The Raiders are sitting comfortably in 4th place on the ladder with a 4-2 record and come into this game on a two-game winning streak. Their attack has been one of the best in the league, ranked 3rd for both points and tries scored, with a total of 168 points so far this season. They’ve been dominant at home with a perfect 3-0 record, although they’ve been a bit less consistent on the road. Their most recent performance was a stunning 50-12 victory over the Eels, showing just how dangerous they can be when they click. With their high-powered attack and solid form, the Raiders will be heavy favourites against the Titans, who have struggled to find their rhythm this season.
Stadium Record
Gold Coast are 2-3 in their last 5 games at this venue. Canberra are 7-1 at this venue since 2018.
Head to Head Record
In the last 10 meetings, the Raiders have won 8 games against the Titans.
Best Bet
The Raiders like playing here and come off a 50 point haul against the Eels, this should be high scoring.
Newcastle Knights (12th) vs Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks (9th)
The Knights are struggling to find form, sitting in 12th place on the ladder with a 2-3 record and currently on a 3-game losing streak. Their attack has been their biggest issue, ranking 17th in both points and tries scored, with only 46 points to show for their efforts this season. They've also been plagued by errors, ranking 1st in the league for most mistakes. Despite conceding just 86 points, their lack of offensive output has been a major hindrance. They’ve been slightly better at home compared to their away form, but they’ll need a major improvement in both discipline and attack if they want to turn things around against the Sharks.
The Sharks come into this matchup against the Knights with a 3-3 record and are coming off a hard-fought 24-18 win over the Sea Eagles in Perth. They’ve been solid overall, winning 3 of their last 5 games, but consistency has been an issue, especially with ball control — they rank 5th in the NRL for errors made. They’ve been slightly better at home compared to their away form. Offensively, they’ve scored 135 points, while conceding 114, so their attack is keeping them in games, but they’ll need to clean up their errors and tighten up defensively. With the Knights struggling to score, the Sharks will be confident they can build on their recent win and push for a solid result here.
Stadium Record
Newcastle are 6-4 in their last 10 games at this venue. Cronulla are 2-3 in their last 5 games at this venue.
Head to Head Record
In the last 10 meetings, the Raiders have won 8 games against the Titans.
Best Bet
The Knights are not clicking in attack and the Sharks have been inconsistent too. So I like the Under, it's now 8-0 in the Knights last 8 games.
Wests Tigers (7th) vs Parramatta Eels (17th)
The Tigers are in decent shape, sitting 7th on the ladder with a 3-3 record, and they’re coming off a solid 20-4 win over the Knights. They’ve been impressive in recent weeks, winning 3 of their last 5, with a strong away record of 3-0-1. However, they’ve struggled a bit at home, yet to win a game at their home ground. One of their biggest strengths has been discipline, ranking 14th in the NRL for errors made, meaning they’re keeping control of the ball more effectively than most. They’ve scored 138 points this season and conceded 110, so their attack is clicking, and with a solid recent run, they’ll be confident against the Eels.
The Eels are struggling this season, sitting at the bottom of the ladder in 17th place with a 1-5 record, and they’re coming off a heavy 38-point loss to the Raiders at TIO Stadium. Their attack has been a major issue, ranking 16th in both points and tries scored, with just 79 points on the board this season. They also rank 3rd in the NRL for most errors made, which has been a constant problem for them. Their away form has been poor, and they’ve also struggled at home. With their defence leaking 202 points so far, they’ll need a huge turnaround if they’re to get back on track against the Tigers.
Stadium Record
Wests are 5-5 in their last 10 games at CommBank Stadium. Parramatta are 3-7 in their last 10 games at this venue.
Head to Head Record
In the last 10, the Eels are 7-3 against the Tigers.
Best Bet
The Eels are struggling with a new defensive structure and I think the likes of Laui and Api will be dangerous. Take the Over, it's 7-0 when the Tigers face the Eels.
