2025 NRL Round 19 Betting Predictions
The Maroons got the job done in Origin 3 on Wednesday night, sealing an incredible 2-1 series win with a near flawless performance. Now, we get back to the NRL action on Friday night with a huge clash between the Sharks and Dolphins at Shark Park.
Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks (10th) vs Dolphins (7th)
The Sharks come into this clash against the Dolphins sitting 10th on the ladder with an even 8-8 record for the season. They've been struggling lately, picking up just one win from their last five games and currently riding a two-game losing streak. While their form on the road has been shaky at 3-6, they've been solid at home with a 5-2 record. Last round, they were outplayed by the Storm at AAMI Park, going down 30-6. They'll be looking to bounce back this week and turn things around.
The Dolphins head into their matchup with the Sharks in solid form, sitting 7th on the ladder with an 8-8 record. They’ve won four of their last five games and are coming off a big 50-28 win over the Rabbitohs at Lang Park. Their form has been balanced home and away, with a 4-4 record in both. Offensively, they’ve been one of the best in the league — ranked 2nd for both points and tries scored — and they’ve kept their errors relatively low, sitting 14th in the NRL for mistakes made. With momentum on their side, the Dolphins will be looking to keep things rolling against a Sharks side that’s been a bit out of sorts.
Stadium Record
Cronulla are 6-4 in their last 10 games at Shark Park. The are 1-0 at this venue since 2010.
Head to Head Record
The Dolphins are 2-0 against the Sharks since 2010.
Best Bet
I think the Dolphins can take advantage of the Sharks inconsistency, especially defensively. The Sharks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 too.
Same Game Multi
The Over is 4-0 when the Dolphins play at night and they are fast becoming one of the best attacking teams in the NRL. The Sharks can also score points if they get it right. It's hard to leave out the Hammer if he backs up from Origin. With 8 tries in his last 4 games, he's the best play in the anytime tryscorer markets.
Dolphins +3.5 / Over 46.5 pts / Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow Anytime Tryscorer = $5.80
Newcastle Knights (13th) vs Melbourne Storm (2nd)
The Knights face a tough task this week against the Storm, sitting 13th on the ladder with a 6-10 record. They’ve dropped three of their last five games and are coming off a narrow 4-point loss to the Raiders at home. Playing away hasn’t been too bad for them this season with a 4-4 record, but their home form has been rough, managing just two wins from eight. Offensively, they’ve really struggled — ranked last in the NRL for both points and tries scored — and they’ve also made the most errors in the comp. With a one-game losing streak and a tough opponent ahead, the Knights will need to clean things up if they’re going to cause an upset.
The Storm are absolutely flying at the moment, sitting 2nd on the ladder with an 11-4 record and riding a five-game winning streak. They’re coming off a solid 26-20 win over the Cowboys and have been dominant at home this season with a 7-1 record. Melbourne leads the NRL in both points and tries scored, showing just how dangerous they are in attack. While they’ve been solid on the road too (4-3), they’ll be confident heading into this clash with the struggling Knights. With form, momentum, and firepower all on their side, the Storm look tough to beat here.
Stadium Record
Newcastle are 1-4 in their last 5 games at this venue. Melbourne are 7-3 at this venue since 2010.
Head to Head Record
In the last 10 meetings, the Storm have won 8 games against the Knights.
Best Bet
The Storm may have a few out because of Origin and the Knights are missing Ponga. So I like the Under, which is also 8-2 in the Knights last 10 home games.
St. George Illawarra Dragons (11th) vs Sydney Roosters (9th)
The Dragons head into their clash with the Roosters sitting 11th on the ladder with a 6-9 record. They’ve dropped three of their last five games and are coming off a close 28-24 loss to the Raiders in Canberra. Away from home, they’ve struggled with just two wins from eight, though they’ve been a bit better at home with a 4-3 record. One of their big issues this season has been ball control — they’re ranked 5th in the NRL for most errors made. With a one-game losing streak and some inconsistency creeping in, the Dragons will need to tighten things up if they’re going to push the Roosters.
The Roosters head into their matchup with the Dragons sitting 9th on the ladder with a 7-8 record. They've won three of their last five but are coming off a narrow 2-point loss to the Tigers at home. Their form's been pretty balanced overall — 4-5 at home and 3-3 on the road. Offensively, they’ve been solid, ranking 5th in the NRL for both points and tries scored, but ball control has been a problem, with the Roosters sitting 3rd in the league for most errors. With just one loss in their current streak, they'll be keen to bounce back and stay in the finals hunt.
Stadium Record
St. George are 5-5 in their last 10 games at Jubilee Stadium. Sydney are 2-1 at this venue since 2010.
Head to Head Record
The Roosters are 4-1 against the Dragons in the last 5 meetings.
Best Bet
The Over has a solid 6-0 record in this matchup and both sides leaked over 20 pts last week.
North Queensland Cowboys (12th) vs Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs (3rd)
The Cowboys head into their clash with the Bulldogs sitting 12th on the ladder with a 6-9 record and just one win from their last five games. They’re coming off a tough 6-point loss to the Storm at home and are currently on a one-game losing streak. Their form has been mixed both home and away — 3 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses at home, and a 3-5 record on the road. One of their biggest issues this season has been ball control, ranking 2nd in the NRL for most errors made. They'll be looking to bounce back and steady the ship this week.
The Bulldogs come into this clash with the Cowboys sitting 3rd on the ladder with an impressive 11-4 record, despite dropping their last two games. They’re coming off a tight 4-point loss to the Broncos at Stadium Australia but have been strong overall this season. They've travelled well too, with a 6-2 away record, and are 5-2 at home. While their recent form has dipped a bit (2 wins from their last 5), the Dogs have shown they can bounce back quickly and will be keen to get back on track against a struggling Cowboys side.
Stadium Record
North Queensland are 5-4 (1 draw) in their last 10 games at QCB. Canterbury are 1-2 at this venue since 2010.
Head to Head Record
In the last 10, the Cowboys hold a 6-4 record.
Best Bet
Both sides will be impacted by Origin and I think the Dogs stringy defence will keep the total under 48.5 pts.
New Zealand Warriors (4th) vs Wests Tigers (14th)
The Warriors head into their matchup with the Tigers sitting 4th on the ladder with a solid 10-5 record. They've hit a bit of a speed bump lately, dropping their last two games, including a 26-12 loss to the Broncos at Lang Park. Still, they’ve been strong both home and away this season — 5-2 at home and 5-3 on the road. One of their biggest strengths has been discipline, ranking last in the NRL for errors made, which shows how tidy they’ve been with the ball. After a couple of setbacks, they'll be eager to bounce back and keep their top-four spot secure.
The Tigers head into this week’s clash with the Warriors sitting 14th on the ladder with a 6-10 record. They’ve only picked up one win from their last five games, but that win came in Round 18 — a gutsy 30-28 upset over the Roosters. Away from home they’ve been decent at 4-4, but their home form has been rough with just two wins from eight. Scoring points has been a struggle all season — they’re ranked 14th in the comp for both points and tries scored. Still, with a bit of momentum and nothing to lose, the Tigers will be hoping to keep things competitive against a strong Warriors outfit.
Stadium Record
New Zealand are 5-5 in their last 10 games at Go Media Stadium. Wests are 2-3 in their last 5 games at Mount Smart.
Head to Head Record
In the last 10 meetings, the Warriors hold a 9-1 record against the Tigers.
Best Bet
Always tough conditions over in NZ and the Under is 4-0 when the Tigers are here. NZ are missing their starting halfback for the year too.
Parramatta Eels (15th) vs Penrith Panthers (6th)
The Eels are sitting 15th on the ladder with a tough 5-10 record this season. They've lost their last game 34-20 to the Dragons in Wollongong and are currently on a one-game losing streak. Their form at home hasn’t been great either, with just three wins from seven games, and their away record is even worse at 2-6. They’ve struggled with ball control, ranking 5th in the league for errors, and their attack hasn’t been strong — sitting 15th for both points and tries scored. It’s been a rough run for the Eels, so they’ll be hoping to turn things around against the Panthers.
The Panthers are in good form right now, sitting 6th on the ladder with a balanced 7-7 record for the season. They’ve been on a four-game winning streak, including a tight 8-6 win over the Bulldogs at Western Sydney Stadium. Their recent form is strong too, winning four of their last five games. At home, they’re sitting 4-4, and on the road, they’ve managed three wins, one draw, and three losses. The Panthers will be looking to keep their momentum going as they take on the struggling Eels this week.
Stadium Record
Parramatta are 5-5 in their last 10 games at CommBank. Penrith are 9-7 at this venue since 2010.
Head to Head Record
In the last 5 meetings, the Panthers have won 3 games against the Eels.
Best Bet
Should be a good time for the Eels to get the Panthers as most of their best players are backing up from Origin defeat. The home team enjoys a 7-1 ATS record in the Western derby so I like the Eels to cover.
Gold Coast Titans (17th) vs Brisbane Broncos (5th)
The Titans are having a tough season, sitting 17th on the ladder with a 4-11 record. They’re on a two-game losing streak after a 6-point loss to the Cowboys at Robina Stadium and have only managed one win in their last five games. Their form at home hasn’t been great either, with just two wins from seven games, and they’ve struggled even more on the road with a 2-6 record. One positive for them has been their discipline, ranking 15th in the NRL for errors made. The Titans will be hoping to turn things around soon, but it’s been a rough run so far.
The Broncos are on a roll right now, sitting 5th on the ladder with a 9-7 record and riding a four-game winning streak. They just got past the Bulldogs by 4 points in Round 18, winning 22-18. At home, they’ve been strong with a 6-2 record, but they’ve struggled a bit on the road with a 3-5 record. Offensively, the Broncos are up there with the best — ranked 4th in the NRL for both points and tries scored. The only real issue has been errors, where they rank 4th highest in the league. Overall, they’re looking solid and will be confident going into their game against the Titans.
Stadium Record
Gold Coast are 1-4 in their last 5 games at this venue. Brisbane are 7-3 in their last 10 games at Robina.
Head to Head Record
In the last 10 meetings, the head to head is squared at 5-5.
Best Bet
This will be a bit like the Titans' Grand Final of 2025 and Des Hasler is probably going to want to go out on a high. The Broncos are 0-4 as a road favourite too.
