2025 NRL Round 17 Betting Predictions
Round 17 stats at CommBank with a huge matchup between the Panthers and Bulldogs on Thursday night. Here is a betting preview of every Round 17 game.
Penrith Panthers (8th) vs Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs (1st)
The Panthers are heading into their clash with the Bulldogs sitting 8th on the ladder, holding a 6-7 record for the season. They've been solid on the road with a 3-1-3 away record and are starting to find some form, riding a three-game winning streak. Over their last five matches, they’ve gone 3-1-1, and while their home form has been patchy at 3-4, their recent performance has given fans something to cheer about. In Round 16, they notched up a strong 28-18 win over the Warriors, showing they’re building momentum at the right time of the season.
The Bulldogs are flying high this season, sitting on top of the ladder with an impressive 11-2 record. They've been tough to beat both home and away, boasting a 5-1 record at home and an even better 6-1 on the road. Offensively, they're firing—ranked 5th in the NRL for both points and tries scored. They’re coming into this clash with the Panthers on a two-game winning streak and have won four of their last five. In Round 15, they got the job done against the Rabbitohs with a solid 24-18 victory. Momentum is clearly on their side heading into this one.
Stadium Record
Penrith are 5-5 in their last 10 games at CommBank. Canterbury are 3-7 in their last 10 games at this venue.
Head to Head Record
In the last 10 meetings, the Panthers hold a 8-2 record against the Bulldogs.
Best Bet
Should be a tough contest on Thursday night and I like both sides defensively, so the Under should be a good bet. It's also 5-0 when the Panthers are the home side.
Same Game Multi
THe Panthers are 6-0 ATS when they play a top 8 side and should give the Bulldogs a scare. They bring in their big guns after resting them from last week's massive win in NZ, showing their depth is still there. So I think they can cover the +2.5 line and possibly get the win. Thomas Jenkins has scored 5 tries in his last 3 games and looks great value to cross the line again.
Under 42.5 pts / Panthers +2.5 / Thomas Jenkins Anytime Tryscorer = $6.25
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles (10th) vs Wests Tigers (14th)
The Sea Eagles are sitting 10th on the ladder with a 6-8 record and will be looking to bounce back after two straight losses. They've been more solid at home (4-3) than on the road (2-5), so they'll be hoping for a turnaround against the Tigers. One area they've done well in is ball control—ranked 15th in the NRL for errors made, which shows they’ve been pretty tidy with possession. Their last outing wasn’t great, going down 28-8 to the Titans at Robina Stadium. With two wins from their last five, they’ll be keen to get back on track.
The Tigers are doing it tough at the moment, sitting 14th on the ladder with a 5-9 record and stuck in a five-game losing streak. Scoring points has been a real challenge—they're ranked 14th in the NRL in that department. Their home form hasn’t helped either, with just two wins from eight games, though they've been more competitive on the road with a 3-3 away record. In their last outing, they pushed the Raiders all the way but fell short by just four points at Campbelltown Sports Stadium. They'll be desperate to break the losing run when they take on the Sea Eagles.
Stadium Record
Manly are 6-4 in their last 10 games at Brookvale. Wests are 2-6 at this venue since 2010.
Head to Head Record
In the last 5 meetings, the Sea Eagles hold a 4-1 record against the Tigers.
Best Bet
I give the Tigers a chance after their 2nd half comeback against the Raiders and the stats agree. The Sea Eagles are 0-6 ATS as a favourite and they were poor before the bye against the Titans.
Newcastle Knights (13th) vs Canberra Raiders (2nd)
The Knights head into their clash with the Raiders sitting 13th on the ladder with a 6-9 record. They’ve been better on the road (4-4) than at home, where they've struggled with just two wins from seven games. Offensively, they’ve had a tough time—ranked last in the NRL for both points and tries scored, and they lead the comp in errors made. Despite those issues, they’ve managed to win three of their last five and are coming off a solid 26-20 win over the Dolphins in Round 16. They’ll be hoping that win gives them a bit of momentum heading into this one.
The Raiders are absolutely flying at the moment, sitting 2nd on the ladder with a 12-3 record and riding a five-game winning streak. They’ve been tough to beat both home (6-1) and away (6-2), and their attacking stats back it up—ranked 3rd in the NRL for both points and tries scored. They've also kept things tidy with ball control, sitting 14th for errors made. In Round 16, they edged out the Tigers 16-12 in a scrappy but gritty win. With five wins on the trot and everything clicking, they’ll be full of confidence heading into their clash with the Knights.
Stadium Record
Newcastle are 1-4 in their last 5 games at this venue. Canberra are 2-3 in their last 5 games at this venue.
Head to Head Record
In the last 10, the Knights hold a 7-3 record.
Best Bet
The Under is 11-1 in the Knights last 12 night games and hopefully they can stand up defensively.
Brisbane Broncos (5th) vs New Zealand Warriors (4th)
The Broncos head into their matchup with the Warriors sitting 5th on the ladder with a 7-7 record, and they’ll be looking to build on a two-game winning streak. Their attack has been a real highlight—ranked 4th in the NRL for both points and tries scored. At home, they’ve been strong with a 5-2 record, but it’s been a different story on the road where they’ve only managed two wins from seven games. In their last outing, they edged out the Sharks 34-28 in a high-scoring clash at Lang Park. With some momentum now behind them, the Broncos will be keen to keep the wins coming.
The Warriors are sitting nicely in 4th spot on the ladder with a solid 10-4 record and have been consistent both home and away, picking up five wins from seven games in each. They’ve been super tidy with the ball too, leading the NRL in fewest errors made—ranked 17th for errors. They’re coming off a tough 10-point loss to the Panthers at Mount Smart, but before that had won three of their last five. With plenty of positives to build on, the Warriors will be keen to bounce back quickly against the Broncos.
Stadium Record
Brisbane are 6-4 in their last 10 games at Suncorp. In their last 5 games at Suncorp, New Zealand holds a 3-2 record.
Head to Head Record
The Warriors are 3-2 against the Broncos in the last 5 meetings.
Best Bet
Should be good conditions at Suncorp on Saturday and the Warriors are 7-1 against the Over when they're an underdog.
St. George Illawarra Dragons (11th) vs Parramatta Eels (15th)
The Dragons head into their clash with the Eels sitting 11th on the ladder with a 5-8 record and looking to snap a two-game losing streak. They’ve been patchy at home with a 3-3 record and haven’t had much luck on the road either, winning just two of seven away games. In their last outing, they went down 30-18 to the Sharks at Sharks Stadium. With only two wins from their last five, the Dragons will be hoping to turn things around and get back on track this week.
The Eels come into this clash with the Dragons sitting 15th on the ladder with a 5-9 record, but they’ll be feeling a bit better after a solid 36-20 win over the Titans last time out. That snapped a rough patch and gave them their third win from the last five games. They’ve been a bit shaky both home (3-4) and away (2-5), and their attack has struggled all season—ranked 15th in the NRL for both points and tries scored. Errors have also been an issue, sitting 4th in the comp for most made. Still, with that recent win under their belt, the Eels will be looking to build some momentum against the Dragons.
Stadium Record
St. George are 5-5 in their last 10 games at WIN Stadium. Parramatta are 1-2 at this venue since 2010.
Head to Head Record
In the last 10, the Eels are 7-3 against the Dragons.
Best Bet
Both sides will be desperate and that makes this a tough game to pick in the head to head. So I like the Under trend, which is 4-0 when the Eels are playing away.
Dolphins (9th) vs South Sydney Rabbitohs (16th)
The Dolphins are sitting 9th on the ladder with a 7-8 record and coming off a close 6-point loss to the Knights at HBF Park. They've been really strong when it comes to scoring, ranked 2nd in the NRL for both points and tries scored, which shows they can put points on the board. Their form has been a bit mixed lately, with three wins and two losses in their last five games, and they’re on a one-game losing streak. At home, they’re just under 50/50 with a 3-4 record, while away they’re even at 4-4. The Dolphins will be looking to bounce back quickly against the Rabbitohs.
The Rabbitohs are having a tough run at the moment, sitting last on the ladder with a 6-9 record and currently stuck in a four-game losing streak. They’re really struggling to score points this season, ranked 16th in the NRL for both points and tries scored. Their recent form hasn’t been great either, winning just one of their last five games. At home, they’re 4-5, and on the road, they’ve managed only two wins from six games. They’re coming off a narrow one-point loss to the Storm at Stadium Australia, and will be desperate to turn things around when they face the Dolphins.
Stadium Record
The Dolphins are 12-12 at this venue. South Sydney are 2-3 in their last 5 games at this venue.
Head to Head Record
The Rabbitohs are 2-1 against the Dolphins since 2010.
Best Bet
The Under is 9-1 when the Bunnies head on the road and Wayne Bennett will know a lot about the Dolphins attack, which should help their gameplan.
Melbourne Storm (3rd) vs Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks (6th)
The Storm are sitting strong in 3rd place on the ladder with a 9-4 record and are on a three-game winning streak. They’ve been electric when it comes to scoring, topping the NRL charts for both points and tries scored. Their recent form is solid too, winning four of their last five games, including a nail-biter 25-24 win over the Rabbitohs in Round 16. They’ve been tough to beat at home with a 6-1 record, but their away form is a bit up and down at 3-3. One area they need to watch is errors—they’re ranked 4th highest in the league for mistakes made. Still, with their attacking firepower, the Storm are a tough team to beat.
The Sharks come into this game sitting 6th on the ladder with an 8-7 record. They’ve been pretty solid at home with a 5-2 record but have struggled a bit on the road, going 3-5 in away games. They’re strong finishers too, ranked 5th in the NRL for tries scored. The Sharks are coming off a close 34-28 loss to the Broncos at Lang Park and have won just two of their last five matches. They’ll be looking to bounce back quickly against the Storm.
Stadium Record
Melbourne are 9-1 in their last 10 games at AAMI Park. Cronulla are 1-4 in their last 5 games at this venue.
Head to Head Record
In the last 10 meetings, the Storm hold a 7-3 record against the Sharks.
Best Bet
The Over is 6-0 when the Storm play the Sharks at home and the two sides had a high scoring affair earlier this season.
Gold Coast Titans (17th) vs North Queensland Cowboys (12th)
The Titans are having a tough season, sitting 17th on the ladder with a 4-10 record and coming off a loss to the Eels at Western Sydney Stadium, where they went down 36-20. They’ve struggled both at home (2-4) and away (2-6), and have only managed one win in their last five games. One bright spot is their ball control—they’re ranked 16th in the NRL for fewest errors made, showing they’re keeping it pretty tidy despite the results. They’ll be hoping to turn things around after that recent loss when they take on the Cowboys.
The Cowboys have been having a rough patch lately, sitting 12th on the ladder with a 5-8 record and currently on a three-game losing streak. Their recent form isn’t great either, winning just one of their last five games. They’ve been a bit better at home with a 3-1-3 record, but away from home, they’ve struggled with just two wins from seven games. One big issue for them has been errors—they’re ranked 2nd highest in the league for mistakes made. In their last game, they got hammered 42-8 by the Roosters at Sydney Football Stadium. They’ll be eager to bounce back against the Titans.
Stadium Record
Gold Coast are 5-5 in their last 10 games at this venue. North Queensland are 5-9 at this venue since 2010.
Head to Head Record
In the last 10 meetings, the head to head is squared at 5-5.
Best Bet
Despite both teams having poor defensive records, the Under has a 7-0 record when the Cowboys head to Robina and hopefully both sides will be on defensively in the QLD derby.
