2025 NRL Round 13 Betting Predictions
The Blues won Game 1 of the Origin series in style, beating QLD at Suncorp Stadium 18-6. Now we get back into the NRL action in Round 13, starting with a massive game between the Dragons and Knights on Friday night footy at Jubilee.
St. George Illawarra Dragons (10th) vs Newcastle Knights (14th)
The Dragons head into their clash with the Knights sitting 10th on the ladder with a 4-6 record and looking to build on some momentum after a gritty 30-26 win over the Broncos in Round 11. That victory snapped a bit of a rough patch and gives them two wins from their last five games. They’ve been pretty even when it comes to home and away form this season, going 2-3 in both. One area they’ll need to tighten up is their handling — they’re ranked fifth in the comp for most errors, which has cost them in a few close games. Still, with a win under their belt and a chance to climb the ladder, they’ll fancy their chances against the Knights.
The Knights might be sitting down in 14th on the ladder with a 4-7 record, but they’ll be feeling pretty good after a huge 25-6 upset win over the Panthers in Round 12. That result snapped a bit of a rough patch and gave them their second win from the last five games. They’ve actually been better on the road this year with a 3-3 away record, compared to just 1-4 at home. Still, there are some big issues they need to fix — they’re leading the comp in errors and sit dead last for both points and tries scored. If they can clean up their attack and hold onto the footy, they’re a chance to build on last week’s performance against the Dragons.
Stadium Record
St. George are 5-5 in their last 10 games at Jubilee Stadium. Newcastle are 1-0 at this venue since 2018.
Head to Head Record
In the last 5 meetings, the Knights have won 3 games against the Dragons.
Best Bet
Both sides are in the bottom 10 for tries scored this season and the Under is 7-0 in the Knights last 7 games.
Same Game Multi
The Knights should have a good chance of keeping the margin under a converted try. They smashed the Panthers last game and they're 7-0 after winning as an underdog. If Ponga backs up from Origin, he should be able to clear 6 points. He's scored a try in his last 4 games against the Dragons and does the goal-kicking duties for the Knights.
Knights +5.5 / Under 44.5 / Ponga 6+ points = $4.70
Gold Coast Titans (16th) vs Melbourne Storm (4th)
The Titans haven’t had the best run this season, sitting 16th on the ladder with just three wins from ten games. They’re coming off a 40-24 loss to the Raiders in Canberra and have managed only one win from their last five outings. Whether at home (1-3) or on the road (2-4), consistency has been a struggle. That said, one thing they’ve done well is hold onto the ball — they’re ranked best in the NRL for the fewest errors, which is a solid foundation to build from. They'll need to make that count when they take on the Storm.
The Storm head into this one sitting 4th on the ladder with a 6-4 record, but they'll be looking to bounce back after a narrow 31-26 loss to the Sharks last week. They've been rock-solid at home with a 5-1 record, but their away form has been shaky at 1-3. Over the last five games, they've picked up just two wins, so they’ll be keen to get back on track. Despite that, they remain one of the most dangerous attacking teams in the comp — ranked first for both points and tries scored. If they hit their stride, the Titans will have their hands full trying to contain them.
Stadium Record
Gold Coast are 1-4 in their last 5 games at this venue. Melbourne are 4-1 in their last 5 games at Robina Stadium.
Head to Head Record
In the last 10 meetings, the Storm have won 9 games against the Titans.
Best Bet
We have one of the best attacking teams in the league up against one of the worst defences, so expect points to flow. The Over is also 6-1 in the Storm's last 7 away games and there should be dry conditions on the Goldy.
North Queensland Cowboys (7th) vs Wests Tigers (12th)
The Cowboys head into their clash with the Tigers sitting 7th on the ladder with a 4-5 record, but they'll be looking to bounce back after an 18-point loss to the Sea Eagles at home. They've had a mixed bag of results lately, going 2-1-2 in their last five, and their home form mirrors that with the same record. On the road, they’ve managed two wins from five. One big issue for the Cowboys has been their error count — they’re ranked 2nd in the NRL for most errors, and it’s definitely been hurting them in key moments. If they can tidy that up, they’ll be a decent shot to get back on track against the struggling Tigers.
The Tigers come into this one sitting 12th on the ladder with a 5-6 record and looking to snap a two-game losing streak. They went down by 10 points to the Rabbitohs last time out at Campbelltown, and have now lost three of their last five. Interestingly, they've been better on the road this season with a 3-2 away record, compared to 2-4 at home. They'll be hoping that away form holds up against the Cowboys as they look to turn things around and climb back into the top eight mix.
Stadium Record
North Queensland are 6-3 (1 draw) in their last 10 games at QCB. Wests are 1-3 at this venue since 2018.
Head to Head Record
In the last 10, the Cowboys hold a 6-4 record.
Best Bet
The Over is showing a nice trend in this matchup, it's 6-0 and both sides can score points on their day.
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles (9th) vs Brisbane Broncos (8th)
The Sea Eagles are sitting just outside the top eight in 9th spot with a 5-6 record and will be out to bounce back after a tough 30-10 loss to the Eels at Western Sydney Stadium. They've been up and down lately with two wins from their last five, and their form at home (3-3) and away (2-3) has been pretty even. With a one-game losing streak and a tight ladder, every match counts — especially against a strong side like the Broncos. They'll need to lift if they want to stay in the finals hunt.
The Broncos head into this clash sitting 8th on the ladder with a 5-6 record, but they’re under pressure after three straight losses. Their latest was a close one — going down by just 4 points to the Dragons at Lang Park. They've only managed one win from their last five and haven't been great on the road this season, with a 2-4 away record. That said, their attack is still one of the best in the comp — they’re ranked 3rd for both points and tries scored. If they can tighten things up defensively, they’ve got the firepower to bounce back against the Sea Eagles.
Stadium Record
Manly are 6-4 in their last 10 games at Brookvale.
Head to Head Record
The Broncos are 3-2 against the Sea Eagles in the last 5 meetings.
Best Bet
The Broncos have a few backing up from Origin and the Under has saluted in Manly's last 6 games. So I'm expecting a low scoring grind in night conditions.
South Sydney Rabbitohs (6th) vs New Zealand Warriors (3rd)
The Rabbitohs are starting to find some form, coming into this one on a two-game winning streak after beating the Tigers 22-12 in Round 11. They’re sitting 6th on the ladder with a 6-5 record and have been solid at home (4-2), though a bit patchy on the road (2-3). Despite their recent wins, they’ve had a tough time putting points on the board this season — ranked 16th in the NRL for both points and tries scored. Still, they’re building some momentum and will be keen to keep it rolling against the Warriors.
The Warriors have been one of the form teams this season, sitting 3rd on the ladder with an impressive 8-3 record. They’ve won four of their last five and have been especially strong at home (5-1), while holding their own on the road with a 3-2 away record. They’re coming off a narrow 6-point loss to the Raiders at Mount Smart, but that was just a small hiccup in an otherwise solid run. While they haven’t been piling on points — ranked 14th for both points and tries scored — they’ve been super tidy with the ball, sitting second-best in the NRL for fewest errors. If they keep that up, they’ll be a real test for the Rabbitohs.
Stadium Record
South Sydney are 6-4 in their last 10 games at this venue. New Zealand are 3-2 in their last 5 games at this venue.
Head to Head Record
Since 2018, the Rabbitohs are 8-2 against the Warriors.
Best Bet
The Under has saluted in Souths last 11 games and the Warriors aren't a high scoring team.
Penrith Panthers (17th) vs Parramatta Eels (15th)
The Panthers are having a tough season, sitting last on the ladder with just three wins from ten games. They’re coming off a heavy 19-point loss to the Knights at Carrington Park and have only managed two wins in their last five matches. Their home form isn’t great either, going 2-4, while away from home they’re struggling too with just one win, one draw, and three losses. One big issue for them has been errors — they’re ranked third worst in the league for mistakes, which has definitely held them back. They’ll need to clean that up if they want to challenge the Eels in this one.
The Eels come into this one sitting 15th on the ladder with a 4-7 record, but they’ve been picking up some momentum lately with back-to-back wins. Their last game was a solid 30-10 victory over the Sea Eagles at Western Sydney Stadium. They’ve been a bit patchy both home (2-4) and away (2-3) this season. One thing holding them back has been scoring — they’re ranked 15th for both points and tries scored in the NRL. Still, if they keep the good vibes going, they’ll be confident taking on the struggling Panthers.
Stadium Record
Penrith are 5-5 in their last 10 games at CommBank Stadium. Parramatta are 4-6 in their last 10 games at this venue.
Head to Head Record
In the last 10 meetings, the Panthers hold a 6-4 record against the Eels.
Best Bet
The Eels will be confident of an upset as the Panthers are just a big off this season. They're also 7-0 ATS at CommBank.
Sydney Roosters (11th) vs Canberra Raiders (2nd)
The Roosters are sitting 11th on the ladder with a 5-6 record but are starting to find some form, winning three of their last five games. They’re coming off a big 42-16 win over the Sharks at Central Coast Stadium, which should give them plenty of confidence. Their home and away records are pretty even at 3-3 and 2-3, respectively. One thing they’ve struggled with this season is errors — they’re ranked third worst in the league for mistakes, which has cost them in a few games. Still, with some momentum behind them, they’ll be keen to keep the good run going against the Raiders.
The Raiders are flying high right now, sitting 2nd on the ladder with a strong 9-3 record and riding a two-game winning streak. They just got the job done in Round 12, beating the Warriors 16-10. Their form over the last five games has been solid too, with four wins. They’ve been impressive on both fronts — ranked second in the NRL for points and tries scored — and they’re pretty tidy with the ball too, sitting 15th for errors made. Whether at home (5-1) or away (4-2), the Raiders have been tough to beat and will be looking to keep that momentum going against the Roosters.
Stadium Record
Sydney are 6-4 in their last 10 games at SFS. Canberra are 2-0 at this venue since 2018.
Head to Head Record
The Raiders are 3-2 against the Roosters in the last 5 meetings.
Best Bet
Should be the game of the round and a tough bet to pick in the head to head. So I like the chances of the Over, it's saluted in the Roosters last 4 games and the Raiders are the 2nd best scoring team in the NRL.
