2025 NRL Round 10 Betting Predictions
NRL Round 10 starts at CommBank Stadium as two bottom eight teams battle for the 2 pts when the Eels host the Dolphins on Thursday night footy.
Parramatta Eels (17th) vs Dolphins (14th)
The Eels take on the Dolphins this week, and things aren’t looking too flash for the boys in blue and gold. Sitting dead last on the ladder in 17th spot, their season’s been a tough grind so far with just 2 wins from 8 starts. They’ve only managed one win away from home, and their recent form isn’t inspiring either, coming into this one on the back of a loss and having dropped 3 of their last 5. Last round, they went down 28-18 to the Sharks at Lang Park. Statistically, the Eels are struggling across the board — they’re fifth worst in the comp for errors, and near the bottom when it comes to points and tries scored. With a matching 1-3 record at home, they'll need a big turnaround if they want to shake things up against the Dolphins.
The Dolphins are set to face the Eels this week, and they’ll be hoping to snap a two-game losing streak. Currently sitting 14th on the ladder with a 3-6 record, they’ve been up and down all season. Their away form has been a bit of a worry, winning just once in five games, and they’re coming off a 36-26 loss to the Roosters at Lang Park. They’ve been slightly better at home with a 2-2 record, and their last five outings show some fight with three wins in the mix. If they can tighten up their defence and get back to the form they showed earlier in the season, they’re a real chance against a struggling Eels outfit.
Stadium Record
Parramatta are 4-6 in their last 10 games at CommBank Stadium. The Dolphins are 0-2 at this venue.
Head to Head Record
The head-to-head is tied at 1-1.
Best Bet
The Over is 5-1 in the Eels last 6 night games, and both sides can leak pts.
Same Game Multi
I think the Dolphins are struggling away from home, and the Eels have Moses back, they usually play well at CommBank too. Josh Addo-Carr is enjoying his time in Eels colours with 6 tries in his last 2 games and back-to-back doubles.
Over 49.5 pts / Eels -2.5 / Josh Addo-Carr Anytime tryscorer = $4.60
Newcastle Knights (12th) vs Gold Coast Titans (16th)
The Knights take on the Titans this week and will be riding a bit of confidence after a dominant 30-4 win over the Rabbitohs in Round 9. That victory snapped a rough patch, with Newcastle having lost four of their last five. Sitting 12th on the ladder with a 3-5 record, the Knights haven’t quite found their rhythm yet. They’ve managed two wins on the road but have struggled at home, going 1-2 so far. Stat-wise, things aren’t great either — they lead the comp in errors and are ranked dead last in both points and tries scored. If they can build on last week’s win and cut out the mistakes, they’re a decent shot to get over a Titans side that's also had its share of struggles.
The Titans head into their clash with the Knights in a real slump, having lost their last five games and sitting 16th on the ladder with just two wins from eight starts. They’re coming off a rough outing where they lost against the Bulldogs at Lang Park 38-18. Offensively, they’ve struggled all season — ranked 14th in both points and tries scored — but there’s at least one bright spot: they’ve been the best in the NRL when it comes to limiting errors, sitting 17th in that stat. With a 1-3 record both at home and away, the Titans will need to find something special to snap their losing streak against a Knights side coming off a big win.
Stadium Record
Newcastle are 5-5 in their last 10 games at this venue. Gold Coast are 0-5 at this venue since 2018.
Head to Head Record
In the last 5 meetings, the Knights hold a 3-2 record against the Titans.
Best Bet
In this matchup, the home team is an impressive 15-0 ATS. The Knights looked better last week and I think they'll run over the struggling Titans defence.
Newcastle Knights -6.5 = $1.90
South Sydney Rabbitohs (13th) vs Brisbane Broncos (5th)
The Rabbitohs take on the Broncos this week and they'll be desperate to bounce back after a heavy 26-point loss to the Knights at Lang Park. Things haven’t been going to plan lately, with Souths on a four-game losing streak and sitting 13th on the ladder with a 4-5 record. They’ve been stronger at home than on the road, but overall consistency has been lacking. Offensively, it’s been a tough watch — they’re ranked second-last in the comp for both points and tries scored. If they’re going to turn things around, they’ll need to sharpen up in attack and find some spark quickly against a Broncos side that can pile on points in a hurry.
The Broncos head into this clash with the Rabbitohs sitting in 5th spot on the ladder, holding a solid 5-4 record despite a few ups and downs in recent weeks. They’re coming off a low-scoring loss to the Panthers at Lang Park, but with just one defeat at home all season, they’ll back themselves to bounce back strong. Brisbane have been one of the best attacking teams in the comp — ranked 3rd for both points and tries scored — and even though they’ve dropped three of their last five, they’ve still got plenty of firepower. Up against a struggling Souths side, the Broncos will be keen to flex their attacking muscles and get back on track.
Stadium Record
South Sydney are 5-5 in their last 10 games at Stadium Australia. Brisbane are 3-6 at this venue since 2018.
Head to Head Record
In the last 10 meetings, the head to head is squared at 5-5.
Best Bet
Should be a tough game and the Under is 9-0 in Souths last 9 games.
Canberra Raiders (2nd) vs Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs (1st)
The Raiders are absolutely flying at the moment, riding a five-game winning streak and sitting 2nd on the ladder with a 7-2 record. They rallied to beat the Storm in golden point in Magic Round too. They’ve been perfect at home this season and solid on the road, showing they can get the job done anywhere. Statistically, they’re one of the best attacking teams in the comp — ranked 2nd for both points and tries scored — and they’ve also kept their errors reasonably low, sitting 14th in that department. Up against the Bulldogs, the Raiders will be full of confidence and looking to keep their winning run going.
The Bulldogs head into this top-of-the-table clash against the Raiders sitting pretty in 1st place with a 7-1 record. They’ve been strong both home and away — unbeaten at home and impressive on the road. They've won four of their last five and are coming off another big win, beating the Titans 38-18. Offensively, the Dogs have been firing, ranked 4th in the comp for both points and tries scored. With form on their side and a stacked stat sheet, they’ll be keen to lay down a marker against a red-hot Raiders outfit in what could be one of the games of the round.
Stadium Record
Canberra are 5-4 (1 draw) in their last 10 games at Canberra Stadium. Canterbury are 0-4 at this venue since 2018.
Head to Head Record
In the last 10 meetings, the Raiders hold a 9-1 record against the Bulldogs.
Best Bet
Top of the table clash and it should be a beauty in day conditions. I think the Over is worth a play with two of the best attacking teams in the NRL.
St. George Illawarra Dragons (10th) vs New Zealand Warriors (3rd)
The Dragons take on the Warriors this week and will be looking to snap a two-game losing streak after a close 34-28 loss to the Tigers at Lang Park. They’re sitting 10th on the ladder with a 3-5 record, and have been pretty hit-and-miss this season. At home, they’ve been okay, but they’ve struggled a bit on the road. One of their biggest issues has been ball control — they rank 3rd in the comp for errors, which has cost them in tight matches. With just two wins from their last five, the Dragons will need to tidy things up if they’re going to get over a Warriors side that's also been patchy this season.
The Warriors are on a roll heading into their clash with the Dragons, riding a three-game winning streak and sitting 3rd on the ladder with a 6-2 record. They've been unbeatable at home so far, and while their away form isn’t as strong, they’ve still managed to get the job done more often than not. Last week, they edged out the Cowboys in a high-scoring 30-26 win at Lang Park, showing they can hold their nerve in tight contests. They’ve also done a great job keeping errors to a minimum, ranked 14th in that stat, which has helped them stay in control during key moments. With four wins from their last five, the Warriors will be confident heading into this one against a Dragons side that’s struggled with consistency.
Stadium Record
St. George are 5-5 in their last 10 games at WIN Stadium. New Zealand are 2-1 at this venue since 2018.
Head to Head Record
In the last 10, the Warriors are 6-4 against the Dragons.
Best Bet
The Wahs are playing great footy and have covered in 5 of their last 6.
New Zealand Warriors -1.5 = $1.85
North Queensland Cowboys (9th) vs Penrith Panthers (15th)
The Cowboys are looking to bounce back after a narrow 30-26 loss to the Warriors at Lang Park, which ended a solid run of four wins from their last five. With a 4-4 record, they’re sitting just outside the top 8 in 9th place. On the road, they've had a mixed bag of results, going 2-3, while at home they've been a little stronger with a 2-1 record. The Cowboys will be hoping to get back on track after their recent loss and put up a better performance against the Panthers. They've shown they can win when things click, but they'll need to tighten up if they want to challenge a Panthers side that’s tough to beat.
The Panthers are in a bit of a rough patch, sitting 15th on the ladder with a 3-6 record, and they’ll be looking to build on their recent win after snapping a losing streak. They’re coming off a loss to the Broncos at Lang Park, where they couldn't score a point, but they've shown some signs of life with a 2-3 record in their last five games. At home, they’ve struggled with a 2-3 record, and they haven’t been much better on the road. One of their biggest issues has been errors, ranking 2nd in the league for mistakes made, which has cost them in tight games. If they can clean up their act and improve in those areas, they might just have what it takes to take down the Cowboys.
Stadium Record
North Queensland are 7-3 in their last 10 games at QCB. Penrith are 2-3 in their last 5 games at this venue.
Head to Head Record
In the last 5 meetings, the Cowboys hold a 3-2 record against the Panthers.
Best Bet
A good win for the Panthers last week but they don't have a great record in Nth QLD, they're 0-4 ATS. So I think the Cowboys keep it close at home.
North Queensland Cowboys +4.5 = $1.85
Melbourne Storm (4th) vs Wests Tigers (8th)
The Storm are coming off a tough loss to the Raiders at Lang Park in golden point, but they’ll be looking to bounce back against the Tigers. With a 5-3 record, they’re sitting comfortably in 4th on the ladder, and their form at home has been solid with a 4-1 record. They’ve been the best team in the NRL when it comes to scoring points and tries, sitting 1st in both categories. Their away form hasn't been as strong, but overall, the Storm are still a very dangerous side. Despite their recent loss, they’ve won three of their last five and will be keen to get back to their best against a Tigers team that has had its struggles this season.
The Tigers are in solid form, coming off a 34-28 win over the Dragons and riding a two-game winning streak. With a 5-4 record, they’re sitting 8th on the ladder, and they’ve been pretty good both at home and away this season. Their last five games have been solid, with three wins and just two losses. The Tigers will be feeling confident heading into this one, especially after a strong win last time out. Up against the Storm, they’ll need to be at their best to take down a high-powered side that’s always dangerous, but with the momentum they’ve built, they’ll be hoping to keep the good times rolling.
Stadium Record
Melbourne are 9-1 in their last 10 games at AAMI Park. Wests are 1-2 at this venue since 2018.
Head to Head Record
The Storm are 7-2 against the Tigers since 2018.
Best Bet
The Storm will be fired up after last week and I love the Over trend at AAMI Park, it's 6-1 in the last 7 games. The Tigers are also playing well and scoring plenty of pts behind Jarome Laui.
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles (7th) vs Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks (6th)
The Sea Eagles will be looking to build on their 26-10 win over the Panthers in Round 8, and with a 4-4 record, they’re sitting comfortably in 7th place. They’ve been solid at home this season with a 3-2 record, although their away form has been a bit more mixed. Over their last five games, they’ve won two and lost three, but they’re on a one-game winning streak. The Sea Eagles have been impressive when it comes to attacking, ranking 5th in the NRL for both points and tries scored, and they’ve done well at limiting errors, ranking 16th in the league for mistakes. They’ll need to keep that form going if they’re going to take on a Sharks team that’s always tough.
The Sharks are coming off a solid 28-18 win over the Eels and are in 6th place on the ladder with a 5-4 record. They’ve been good at home this season, posting a 3-1 record, but their away form has been a bit shakier at 2-3. Over their last five games, they’ve won three and lost two, and they’re on a one-game winning streak. One area they’ll need to improve is reducing errors, as they currently rank 4th in the NRL for mistakes. If they can clean that up, they’ll be a tough opponent for the Sea Eagles, especially with their strong attacking game.
Stadium Record
Manly are 7-3 in their last 10 games at Brookvale. Cronulla are 3-1 at this venue since 2018.
Head to Head Record
The Sharks are 4-1 against the Sea Eagles in the last 5 meetings.
Best Bet
This should be a good battle and I like the Under trend, it's 7-1 in the Sharks last 8 games.
