Los Angeles Rams v Minnesota Vikings
Friday, September 28 10:20am at Los Angeles
Week 4 begins in Los Angeles with the high-flying Rams taking on the struggling Vikings. LA is the only undefeated NFC team left after 3 dominant victories. They’re strong on both sides of the ball having scored 34 points per game and their defence is ranked #1 in the NFL. In those 3 wins, they’ve conceded an average of 12 points per game. So they’ll look to keep the Vikings passing attack quiet. Minnesota has opened the season with a 1-1-1 record and were poor last week at home. Against the struggling Bills, Kirk Cousins couldn’t move the ball and the Vikings offence could only manage 2 field goals for the whole game. The line for the game was -18 but the Vikings actually lost by 21 points! So this will be a tough road-trip. The Rams offence hasn’t been held under 30 points this year and the Vikings couldn’t stop a Bills offence last week that was starting a rookie. Jared Goff is no rookie and he’ll expose this defence. While on defence, the Rams are proving they can stop sides this season and shouldn’t have any trouble keeping the Vikings offence out of the redzone. Rams at the line looks to be the best value here.
Stadium Record
The Rams are 2-0 here this season. The Vikings haven’t played at this venue.
Head to Head Record
Since 2012, the Vikings do have a 4-0 record against the Rams and beat them 24-7 last year in Minnesota.
Best Bet
New York Giants v New Orleans Saints
Monday, October 1 6:25am at East Rutherford
The Saints travel to New York for a matchup against the Giants. This looks like it’ll be a high scoring affair, especially with the Saints involved. This New Orleans side can score points like no other in the NFL but they do have problems stopping the pass. With the Giants coming off their first win of the season and 27 points against the Texans, that should give them confidence of keeping up with Drew Brees. So far this year, the Saints are ranked 2nd in the NFL for points scored and knocked off the Falcons 43-37 in Atlanta last week. But they do rank last in the NFL for points conceded. The trend between these two sides is also high scoring affairs with the over going 3-1 since 2011. The average total points is very high at 70.5. In 3 of those 4 games, one side has scored 49 or more points as well. So I’m all in on the overs for this contest.
Stadium Record
The Giants lost their home opener 20-15 against the Jaguars. The Saints travelled here in 2016 and lost 16-13.
Head to Head Record
Since 2011, both sides have won 2 games against each other in the 4 meetings.
Best Bet
Pittsburgh Steelers v Baltimore Ravens
Monday, October 1 10:20am at Pittsburgh
The highlight of Week 4 will be the rivalry matchup between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Baltimore Ravens. For the home side, they broke through for their first win of the season last week as they just downed the Bucs by a field goal. The Ravens are 2-1 on the season and will be desperate to win these type of games if they want to either win the division or make the playoffs. In the end, games between the Steelers and Ravens are usually close so this shouldn’t buck the trend. Since 2010, from the 18 meetings between the pair, 10 of 18 have been decided by 3 or less points. So I do like the Ravens at the line. In the last meeting at this venue, the Steelers just stole victory by a point. At the moment, the home side is struggling to stop opposing Quarterbacks and Joe Flacco has been playing well this year. Pittsburgh is also missing their top RB. So that should keep this game close until the very end.
Stadium Record
Pittsburgh lost their home opener against the Chiefs in Week 2 by 5 points. Since 2015, the Ravens are 2-2 at Heinz Field.
Head to Head Record
Since 2010, the Ravens lead the head to head 11-7 and have won 5 of the last 7 meetings.
Best Bet
Denver Broncos v Kansas City Chiefs
Tuesday, October 2 10:15am at Denver
The NFL action for the week ends in Denver as two AFC West rivals clash. The Chiefs are one of the hottest sides in the NFL after a 3-0 start. Meanwhile, the Broncos are 2-1 and have won both games at home in 2018. For the Chiefs, the story has been Patrick Mahomes’ stunning start. They traded Alex Smith in the offseason and obviously had ultimate faith in this kid. So far he’s thrown 13 touchdown passes in 3 games and hasn’t been intercepted. He’s top 10 for passing yards as well. So he’ll look to dominate a Broncos pass defence that is ranked middle to low in the NFL as they allow 262 pass yards per game. The Broncos also made a QB switch in the offseason, bringing in Case Keenum. He’s already thrown 5 picks in 3 games but the Chiefs pass defence isn’t looking great. They rank equal last in the league for pass yards allowed. So this is looking like a high scoring affair and I suggest betting on the overs. Since 2016, the Chiefs are 2-0 against the overs at this venue. So far this season, all 3 of their games have gone over 60 total points. The Broncos have scored 20 or more in their 2 home games and should have similar success against the Chiefs.
Stadium Record
Denver has beaten the Raiders and Seahawks at home in 2018. The Chiefs are 3-0 at this venue since 2015.
Head to Head Record
Kansas City has won the last 4 meetings, including 2 in Denver by a field goal.
Best Bet
Other NFL Week 4 Tips:
| Game | Date / Time (AEST) | Venue | Best Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Bengals at Atlanta Falcons | Monday, October 1 3:00am | Atlanta | OVER 48.5 points $1.70 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears | Monday, October 1 3:00am | Chicago | Bears WIN $1.62 |
| Detroit Lions at Dallas Cowboys | Monday, October 1 3:00am | Arlington | Lions +3 $1.94 |
| Philadelphia Eagles at Tennessee Titans | Monday, October 1 3:00am | Nashville | UNDER 42.5 points $1.80 |
| Buffalo Bills at Green Bay Packers | Monday, October 1 3:00am | Green Bay | Bills +10 $1.89 |
| Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts | Monday, October 1 3:00am | Indianapolis | UNDER 48.5 points $1.76 |
| Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots | Monday, October 1 3:00am | Foxborough | OVER 46.5 points $1.78 |
| New York Jets at Jacksonville Jaguars | Monday, October 1 3:00am | Jacksonville | UNDER 40.5 points $1.73 |
| Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals | Monday, October 1 6:05am | Glendale | Cardinals +3.5 $1.82 |
| Cleveland Browns at Oakland Raiders | Monday, October 1 6:05am | Oakland | Browns WIN $2.29 |
| San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Chargers | Monday, October 1 6:25am | Carson | Chargers -8.5 $1.73 |
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