Both the Chiefs and Giants are 0-2. Who will get their first win of the season this Monday morning? Here are my NFL tips for this one.
Kansas City Chiefs (0-2) at New York Giants (0-2)
After losing the Super Bowl last season, 2025 hasn't been kind to the Chiefs either. They're 0-2 and searching for answers. Their offence has been well below its best, scoring just 19 pts per game (24th in the NFL). So this is a massive road game before they have to take on the Ravens next week. The Giants have also had a tough start to the season. They've played both games on the road against divisional foes, losing 21-6 against the Commanders and a brutal OT loss against the Cowboys (40-37). But Russ Wilson passing for 450 yards and 3 TDs against the Boys will give them hope of turning it around.
Leg #1 - Kansas City Chiefs -3.5
The Chiefs have played in 2 close losses against potential playoff teams and I think they get their first dub of the season in New York. The Giants have a horrible record in home openers, going 1-12 ATS in their last 13. In their last 14 games, they've won just 1 game and 3-11 ATS. It's not much better at home, they've lost 8 of their last 9 at MetLife Stadium. The issue will likely be their defence, which has been tormented by the Commanders and Cowboys. Despite an 0-2 record, the Chiefs have Mahomes to carry them to victory (literally) and top WR Xavier Worthy should be back from injury after missing last week.
Leg #2 - Under 51.5 pts
The Under has a perfect 11-0 record in the Giants last 11 home openers. Both sides are averaging around 20 pts per game so I think this total of 51.5 pts should be a safe bet.
Leg #3 - Patrick Mahomes 225+ Passing Yards
In Mahomes last 7 games, he's got a 5-2 record of passing for over 225 yards. That includes 3 playoff games and the SB last season. This season, he beat that mark in Week 1 against the Chargers and the Giants allowed 361 passing yards last week. New York rank 4th last in the NFL for pass yards allowed and I expect Mahomes to torch them with the Chiefs desperate to avoid starting 0-3.
Same Game Multi
Kansas City Chiefs -3.5 / Under 51.5 pts / Patrick Mahomes 225+ Passing Yards = $4.70
Value Leg - Patrick Mahomes Anytime Touchdown Scorer
Mahomes is getting it done on the ground and this is a massive value price for him to score another rushing TD. In his first 2 games this season, he's scored a TD in both and actually leads the Chiefs in rushing yards. There's not much else this guy can do. Get on this price before it drops.
