It's a NFC South divisional rivalry to start off Week 15 as the Bucs look to seal up a playoff spot against the struggling Falcons. Here's my NFL betting tips for this clash.
Atlanta Falcons (4-9) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-6)
The Falcons are out of playoff contention but will be looking to become the upset hunter as the season nears the end, starting with the Bucs, a divisional foe, on Friday morning. They come into this matchup with not a lot of form, losing 4 of their last 5 and got smashed by the Seahawks last week, 37-9. Winning on the road has been tough too, they've lost 5 of their last 6 and will need Kirk Cousins to have a blinder for a chance at an upset.
Tampa are 7-6 but have been very average lately, winning just 1 of their last 5. They come off a close loss against the Saints last week (24-20). QB Baker Mayfield has been playing through a shoulder injury, making it tough for the offence to score. But they've got Evans back this week and Godwin as well. With a lead in the NFC South over the Panthers, this is a must-win game for their chances of winning the division.
Leg #1 - Buccaneers -2.5
Tampa have a lot to play for in this matchup compared to the Falcons and I think they get the job done by a field goal or more. Baker should enjoy having the likes of Evans and Godwin together in the passing game. Meanwhile, the Bucs defence should be able to pressure Cousins into mistakes, as has been the case since he took over the starting QB role.
Leg #2 - Over 43.5 pts
The trends are pointing towards a high scoring affair on a short week. The Bucs and Falcons have gone 14-5 against the Over in their last 19 meetings. It's also 5-2 when the Bucs are the home team. Atlanta are 5-1 against the Over in their last 6 games and both sides give up around 25 points per game.
Leg #3 - Bijan Robinson 70+ Rushing Yards
Another 70+ rushing day looks to be on cards for Robinson, the heartbeat of this Falcons offence. He comes off 86 yards in a massive loss last week and in 2 of his last 4 games, he's gone over 100 rushing yards. Tampa also gave up 70 yards to a RB last week and 3 rushing TD's.
Same Game Multi
Buccaneers -2.5 / Over 43.5 pts / Bijan Robinson 70+ Rushing Yards = $5.40
Value Leg - Bucky Irving Anytime Touchdown Scorer
Bucky is looking to make it 4 straight games with a TD. Coming into this matchup, he's a caught a TD against the Saints, ran one in against Arizona and previously had 5 catches/102 yards/1 TD against the Eagles.
