2022 NFL Week 6 Betting Predictions
Week 6 of the NFL season starts in Chicago with the Bears and Commanders looking to end their losing streaks.
Washington Commanders (1-4) at Chicago Bears (2-3)
The Commanders are looking to end a 4-game losing streak when they travel to Chicago on Friday. In Week 5, they had their opportunities against the Titans in the 21-17 defeat but a late interception by Carson Wentz sealed their feat. While Washington are a decent passing team, ranking 10th in the NFL for passing yards, their conversion rate has been poor. They've scored just 18 points per game and have been held under 20 pts in their last 3 losses. But if they can convert redzone trips into points, they'll have a shot against the Bears. One of the key factors will be establishing a running game as the Bears are ranked 31st in the NFL for rushing yards conceded.
The Bears are looking to respond after back-to-back losses against the Vikings and Giants by under 10 pts. Despite last week's loss, the Bears did get Montgomery back in the running game and that should help them against the Commanders as well. But scoring points has been an issue for the Bears as well, they're ranked just behind Washington with 17.2 pts per game. Passing the ball isn't their strength as they're ranked dead last in the NFL. So they'll look to continue their running game to get the win in this important home game.
The trends say this should be a similar game to last week where points will be at a premium. The Commanders are 5-1 against the Under after a loss and it's also 5-2 in their last 7 games. The Bears have a strong Unders record at home against struggling teams at 14-3.
Stadium Record
Chicago are just 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home. Washington are 8-1 in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Chicago.
Head to Head Record
The Commanders hold a 7-3 record in the last 10 meetings. But Chicago did win the last matchup in 2019, 31-15.
Best Bet
Dallas Cowboys (4-1) at Philadelphia Eagles (5-0)
The Cowboys are red-hot after 4 straight wins and have survived a crucial stretch with QB Dak Prescott on the sidelines. He's likely due to return against the Eagles but this will be decided closer to kick-off. But the major key for the Cowboys has been their elite defence. They haven't given up over 20 pts this season and gave the Rams nightmares last week in LA during the 22-10 victory. However, the issue against the Eagles could be stopping the run. Jalen Hurts is a tough matchup and Dallas are middle of the pack in terms of rushing yards allowed.
The Eagles are the last remaining undefeated team and come off a thrilling 3-point win over the Cardinals in Arizona. Jalen Hurts continued his fine season with another 2 rushing touchdowns and will fancy this matchup against the Cowboys defence. The Eagles defence has also been impressive as they allow just 17 points per game and rank inside the top 10 for both passing/rushing yards allowed.
Both sides are in great form so this shapes as a close primetime matchup between NFC East rivals. Ultimately, the Eagles offence should be able to score pts against the Cowboys and they have a 6-1 record against the Over on their home turf. Meanwhile, the potential return of Prescott lifts the scoring ability of the road team and they have scored 37+ pts in the last 3 meetings. So we do like the Over in this one.
Stadium Record
Philadelphia are 5-1 in its last 6 games at home. Dallas are 7-3 in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Head to Head Record
The Cowboys swept last season's series and have won 7 of the last 10 meetings.
Best Bet
Denver Broncos (2-3) at Los Angeles Chargers (3-2)
Denver's strange season continued last week as they went down to the Colts in OT by a field goal. Russell Wilson has been a disaster at QB and now has revealed a shoulder injury is to blame. It's concerning coming into what will likely be a shootout against Herbert and the Chargers. So it's all about the Broncos defence keeping them in this one and they should be confident. They allow just 16 points per game and are the best side in the NFL for passing yards allowed. So the matchup with Herbert is a key factor in this divisional clash.
The Chargers are looking for a 3rd straight win when they host the Broncos this Tuesday. They outlasted the Browns in Cleveland last week 30-28. Austin Ekeler was huge again with 173 rushing yards and the Williams-Herbert combination was strong as he caught 10 passes for 134 yards. The Chargers offence is a key strength as their defence has struggled to keep up. They allow 27 points per game and have struggled against the run/pass. But the Broncos aren't a high-scoring side so this matchup looks to be in the favour of LA despite their defensive struggles.
The home team is 5-0 ATS between these two sides and it's hard to back the Broncos right now. Their QB is injured and they'll likely struggle to score enough pts to keep up with the Chargers high powered offence. LA are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 and 8-3 ATS against the AFC West.
Stadium Record
The LA Chargers are 4-2 in its last 6 games at home. Denver are 2-4 in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA.
Head to Head Record
The series was split 1-1 last year and the Broncos hold a slight advantage in the last 10 games with a 6-4 record.
Best Bet
Los Angeles Chargers -6.5 = $2.12
Other NFL Week 6 Tips
| Game | Best Bet
|
|---|---|
| Jets at Packers | New York Jets +8.5 = $1.76 |
| Bengals at Saints | Over 43.5 = $1.87 |
| Ravens at Giants | New York Giants +6.5 = $1.74 |
| Vikings at Dolphins | Over 45.5 = $1.91 |
| Buccaneers at Steelers | Tampa Bay Buccaneers -9.5 = $2.00 |
| Patriots at Browns | Patriots Win = $2.23 |
| Jaguars at Colts | Under 42.5 = $1.87 |
| 49ers at Falcons | Over 44.5 = $1.91 |
| Panthers at Rams | Under 40.5 = $1.94 |
| Cardinals at Seahawks | Over 50.5 = $1.87 |
| Bills at Chiefs | Kansas City Chiefs +3.5 = $1.73 |
