New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons
Thanksgiving Football ends in Atlanta with the 3-8 Falcons looking for another upset over the 9-2 Saints. In early November, Atlanta stunned the Saints with a comfortable 26-9 victory, ending a long 7 game losing streak. However after two impressive wins over the division, the Falcons couldn't stop the Buccaneers passing game in last week's 35-22 defeat. They continue to be troubled by injuries, especially offensively. So the pressure will be on Matt Ryan to dominate this Saints D. The Saints hold a commanding lead in the NFC South with a 9-2 record and they just held off the Panthers last week via a field goal. Brees picked apart the Panthers defence with 3 TD passes and he gave Michael Thomas plenty of the ball as usual. After losing 26-9 a few weeks ago to the Falcons, the Saints should be fired up to avenge that loss in this one. But, there's nothing much to lose for the Falcons here and we think that could make them a dangerous prospect for the Saints. Atlanta would love to hurt the Saints playoff positioning and they'll be fired up to win on their home turf. So we have to like the Falcons at the line, where the ATS underdog has saluted in 9 of the last 12 meetings.
Stadium Record
Atlanta has lost 4 of their last 5 home games. New Orleans has a 1-2 record in the last 3 meetings here.
Head to Head Record
Since 2014, the Saints and Falcons have both won 5 games against each other.
Best Bet
Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs
It's first against second in this AFC West matchup on Monday as the 7-4 Chiefs host the 6-5 Raiders. Kansas City enjoyed the bye last week after outlasting the Chargers in Mexico, 24-17. They've been up and down lately with a 3-2 record in their last 5 but Patrick Mahomes and his offence should be better after the rest. They have a great record against the Raiders in Kansas City with 9 wins in the last 10 meetings. So they'll look to dominate a Raiders unit that was smashed by the Jets last week. With a playoff spot on the line, Oakland didn't play like it as New York crushed them 34-3. They're still the 7th seed in the AFC but a win over the Chiefs would give them a great chance of winning the division. It starts with a better showing on offence and they should get plenty of opporunties to feed Josh Jacobs the ball in the running game. Kansas City is 30th in the NFL for rushing yards allowed and that's where the Raiders should attack this defence. As usual, the Chiefs get a high total at home and we're backing the Under trend to continue between the two sides in KC. The Under has saluted in 17 of the last 22 meetings at Arrowhead and the Chiefs are 9-1-1 against the Under when they're coming off the bye.
Stadium Record
Kansas City has won 13 of their last 19 home games. Oakland has a poor 1-9 record at Arrowhead Stadium.
Head to Head Record
The Chiefs have dominated this rivalry in recent times with 9 wins in the last 10 since 2014.
Best Bet
New England Patriots at Houston Texans
Monday's feature game will see the 10-1 Patriots travel to Houston for a matchup against the AFC South leading Texans. Houston rebounded from a shocker in Baltimore with a massive 20-17 victory over the Colts. It saw them re-take the divisional lead and they're in the box-seat to make the playoffs. But they will need to overcome a poor record against the Pats as the Texans have lost all of the last 5 meetings. It mainly starts with their defence keeping the Patriots on the sidelines and Texans QB DeShaun Watson limiting mistakes against the likes of Steph Gilmore. It was another ugly win for the Patriots last week as they shutdown the Cowboys in the 13-9 result. The offence has scored just 30 points in the last 2 wins over the Eagles and Cowboys. But the positive sign has been the defence as usual with just 19 total points allowed. As mentioned, Steph Gilmore is shutting down opposing receivers every week and he'll get another tough assignment against Hopkins. While on offence, the Pats and Brady will be hoping they can get healthy and build some momentum before another SB run. Ultimately, we have to favour the Under here as the Patriots are 6-1 against it on the road and have struggled to put up points of late. The Texans also have a nice Unders record at 8-1 in their last 9 games at NRG Stadium.
Stadium Record
Houston has won 4 of their last 5 home games. New England last played at this venue in 2015 and they've won 3 of the last 4 meetings.
Head to Head Record
In the Texans NFL History, they've only beaten the Patriots once in the 11 meetings. The two sides met last season in Week 1 and the Pats held on for a 27-20 victory.
Best Bet
Minnesota Vikings at Seattle Seahawks
Tuesday's feature game could be a playoff preview as the 8-3 Vikings take on the 9-2 Seahawks at CenturyLink Field. Seattle is back at home after impressive road victories over the Eagles (17-9) and they snapped the 49ers win streak previously (27-24). In the win over the Eagles, the Seahawks proved they have the defence to be dangerous in the playoffs and their running game was excellent behind Penny. While for the Vikings, they weren't great against the Broncos as they fell behind 20-0. But Kirk Cousins and his offence led a 4th quarter revival as they came back to win 27-23. Their last 3 games have been decided by 4 or less points so you can generally expect a close one when the Vikings are involved. However, the Seahawks are a different proposition on their home turf and we can't back against them. Seattle has historically owned the Vikings at home with a 5-1 ATS record and they also have an incredible 15-2 ATS record in Week 13 games. Meanwhile, a bye week spells trouble for the Vikings as they've failed to cover in 8 of their last 10 following a bye.
Stadium Record
Seattle has an impressive 8-2 record in their last 10 home games. The Vikings have won just 1 of their last 6 games in Seattle.
Head to Head Record
The Seahawks have won 4 straight over the Vikings since 2012 and beat them last September at this venue 21-7.
Best Bet
Other NFL Week 13 Tips
| Game | Venue | Best Bet |
|---|---|---|
| Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions | Ford Field | UNDER 38.5 $1.74 |
| Buffalo Bills at Dallas Cowboys | AT&T Stadium | Bills +7 $1.77 |
| Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts | Lucas Oil Stadium | Titans WIN $2.20 |
| New York Jets at Cincinnati Bengals | Paul Brown Stadium | Bengals +3.5 $1.87 |
| Washington Redskins at Carolina Panthers | Bank of America Stadium | Panthers -10.5 $2.09 |
| San Francisco 49ers at Baltimore Ravens | M&T Bank Stadium | OVER 46.5 $1.85 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Jacksonville Jaguars | TIAA Bank Field | OVER 48.5 $1.92 |
| Philadelphia Eagles at Miami Dolphins | Hard Rock Stadium | Dolphins +10.5 $1.70 |
| Green Bay Packers at New York Giants | MetLife Stadium | OVER 44.5 $1.87 |
| Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals | State Farm Stadium | UNDER 48.5 $1.85 |
| Los Angeles Chargers at Denver Broncos | Broncos Stadium at Mile High | Broncos WIN $2.30 |
| Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers | Heinz Field | UNDER 40.5 $1.80 |
