Dallas Cowboys (7-4) at New Orleans Saints (5-6)
The Cowboys have let their NFC East divisional lead slip after back to back defeats. Their offence scored just 9 points against the Chiefs a few weeks ago. Then on Thanksgiving, Dallas lost an OT shootout against the Raiders 36-33 at home. To make matters worse, head coach Mike McCarthy won't be with the team on Friday due to Covid. They're also missing key receiver Amari Cooper due to unvaccination (he could be back this week) and CeeDee Lamb is dealing with a concussion. However, there's a good chance they bounce back against a struggling Saints unit. Defensively, Dak Prescott should be able to take advantage of the Saints secondary that ranks 23rd in the NFL for pass yardage allowed.
New Orleans will be desperate to end a four game losing streak and they may look to start Taysom Hill at quarterback. Trevor Siemian has been the starter since Jameis Winston went down and the offence has struggled, especially without Alvin Kamara. Kamara did get on the practice field this week but his status would be considered doubtful on a short week.
Overall, Dallas have more ability to bounce back from a couple of defeats. The Saints have too many injuries to their offence and that'll see them struggle to keep up with Dallas. The Cowboys have also recorded a 4-1 ATS on the road in their last 5 games.
Stadium Record
The Saints have struggled at home recently with a 2-4 record. Dallas holds a poor 1-6 record in New Orleans.
Head to Head Record
In the last 2 meetings, the Saints won at home 12-10 and the Cowboys beat them in another low scoring affair in 2018, 13-10.
Best Bet
Denver Broncos (6-5) at Kansas City Chiefs (7-4)
Denver come off a huge divisional win over the Chargers 28-13 and that keeps them alive in the hunt for the AFC Wildcard / AFC West division. This is another key matchup against the Chiefs as well. One of the strengths of the Broncos this season has been their defence as they allow just 17.8 points per game. They now face one of the toughest offences in the NFL that ranks 2nd in the NFL for total yardage. So if they can keep Mahomes on the sidelines, Denver will be a good chance of an upset.
After a 27-3 defeat against the Titans, the Chiefs have now won their last 4 games and their defence has finally improved. In their last 3 wins, they've kept the Cowboys to 9 points, Raiders 14 points and Packers 7 points (without Rodgers). Denver wouldn't be considered an offensive threat as they're more focused on running the football. So the Chiefs defence should be able to keep Teddy Bridewater under wraps in this matchup. The Chiefs should also be fresh from the bye week and eager to extend their lead in the AFC West division.
Kansas City has dominated this divisional rivalry over the last 5 years. However, we do like the chances of this game falling under 47.5 points. The Chiefs defence is back and the Under has saluted in 4 of their last 5 home games. Denver also holds a 5-0 Unders record in their last 5 games and it's also 5-1 when they hit the road.
Stadium Record
The Chiefs are 4-2 at home this season. Denver has lost their last 5 games at this venue.
Head to Head Record
Kansas City holds an impressive 10-0 record against the Broncos since 2016.
Best Bet
New England Patriots (8-4) at Buffalo Bills (7-4)
It's hard to figure that the Patriots were 2-4 at one stage as they've now won 6 games in a row. This team is simply on fire at the moment as they're playing suberp defence and QB Mac Jones just doesn't look like a rookie. Overall, they've allowed 15.8 points per game this season, which ranks them 1st in the NFL. In their last 4 games, they've haven't allowed over 13 points as well. While on offence, Mac Jones is coming off one of his best performances in the snow against the Titans. They're offence is very balanced as they can beat opposing defences in the air and on the ground.
After a disappointing defensive effort against the Colts in a 41-15 defeat, the Bills got back on track with a comfortable 31-6 win over the Saints. The focus was stopping the run and they did just that as they allowed just 44 yards on 25 carries. Meanwhile, Josh Allen tossed 4 touchdowns, including 2 to his TE Dawson Knox. However, he did throw 2 interceptions and he'll need to be careful against a Patriots defence that ranks 2nd in the NFL for takeaways. While on defence, they'll need to get pressure on Mac Jones and quell the influence of the Pats running game.
This should be one of the most watched games of the season as the two teams battle for the AFC East title. With two of the best defences in the NFL going head to head, the Under does look the best play. Both sides are ranked 1st and 2nd for points allowed. The Under has also saluted in 7 of the Patriots last 9 road games. Buffalo also holds a 4-2 Unders record at home and there's rain/snow predicted for the Buffalo area on Tuesday.
Stadium Record
Buffalo has won 10 of their last 12 home games. New England holds an 8-1 record in Buffalo.
Head to Head Record
The Bills swept the season series last season after dealing with the Tom Brady era for the last decade.
Best Bet
Other NFL Week 13 Tips
| Game | Best Bet
|
| Buccaneers at Falcons | Over 50.5 = $1.91 |
| Giants at Dolphins | New York Giants +5.5 = $1.78 |
| Vikings at Lions | Under 46.5 = $1.94 |
| Chargers at Bengals | Cincinnati Bengals -3.0 = $1.87 |
| Cardinals at Bears | Under 46.5 = $1.82 |
| Eagles at Jets | Philadelphia Eagles -6.5 = $1.85 |
| Colts at Texans | Under 45.5 = $1.91 |
| Washington at Raiders | Washington Football Team +3.5 = $1.70 |
| Jaguars at Rams | Over 46.5 = $1.78 |
| Ravens at Steelers | Under 44.0 = $1.91 |
| 49ers at Seahawks | Under 46.5 = $1.82 |
