Buffalo Bills (6-4) at New Orleans Saints (5-5)
The Buffalo Bills not only lost badly to the Colts 41-15 last week but have also fallen to 2nd place in the AFC East. Their usually strong run defence was simply outclassed by Colts RB Jonathan Taylor as he rushed for 185 yards / 5 touchdowns. However, the Bills should be a confident of rebounding against an injury riddled Saints offence that's missing Kamara. The other area they can likely dominate the Saints is through Josh Allen on the ground. New Orleans gave up 3 rushing touchdowns to dual-threat QB Jalen Hurts last week and Allen can provide similar problems.
New Orleans have lost 3 on the trot since beating the Buccaneers as injuries have started to take it's toll. They've been without Alvin Kamara for a few weeks and he's out for this matchup on a short week as well. To make matters worse, second string RB Mark Ingram missed practice during the week. So it's hard to see them taking advantage of the Bills run defence that struggled last week. Meanwhile, the Saints defence will need to be much better against Josh Allen after Jalen Hurts tore them apart in Week 11.
Buffalo are capable of rebounding against an injury riddled Saints team as Josh Allen should be able to dominate. However, both sides gave up an average of 40.5 points last week and that should see a high scoring affair in the offence-friendly Dome conditions. The Over has also saluted in 6 of the Saints last 7 games. Meanwhile, the Bills are 10-4 against the Over on the road.
Stadium Record
New Orleans has won 8 of their last 12 at home. Buffalo has lost their last 2 on the road against the Saints.
Head to Head Record
The Saints have won all of the last 5 meetings against the Bills since 2001.
Best Bet
Cleveland Browns (6-5) at Baltimore Ravens (7-3)
The Browns come off an ugly 13-10 win over the struggling Lions, mainly thanks to Nick Chubb. Cleveland's star RB rushed for 130 yards and caught a touchdown pass after missing last week's game due to Covid-19. Baker Mayfield continues to play through multiple injuries and obviously didn't look his best in a 2 interception performance. He'll be questionable again for this matchup with the Ravens. At this point of the season, the Browns don't have much of a choice but to play him through injury as they chase a playoff spot.
Baltimore were without starting QB Lamar Jackson against the Bears last week but they pulled off an comeback victory in Chicago. In his first NFL start, Tyler Huntley led the rally with a key throw to Sammy Watkins in the dying stages and Devonta Freeman capped the 3 point win with a touchdown in the last minute. The good news for the Ravens is that Lamar will likely return from illness and he has a solid career record against Cleveland.
There's just too many question marks about the Cleveland Browns for us to forsee an upset. Especially with Mayfield bravely playing through injury. Lamar Jackson should be back from illness and the Ravens have dominated this AFC North rivalry in the last 5 or so years, especially on their home turf.
Stadium Record
The Ravens are 7-1 in their last 8 home games. Cleveland has a terrible 2-11 record in Baltimore.
Head to Head Record
Baltimore has owned this divisional rivalry with an 8-2 record since 2016.
Best Bet
Seattle Seahawks (3-7) at Washington Football Team (4-6)
The Seahawks head to Washington with a disappointing 3-7 record and an offence that's struggling to score points. Since Russell Wilson has returned from injury, the Seahawks have been shutout by the Packers and scored just 13 pts against the Cardinals last week. With a defence that's also struggling to contain the pass (30th in the NFL), it's a tough battle for Seattle at the moment unless they make some drastic changes.
On the flipside, Washington have turned their season around with a nice 2 game winning streak. They followed a massive upset over the Bucs with an important 27-21 win over Carolina. Taylor Heinicke is one of the more underrated QBs in the league and he continued his good form with 3 touchdown passes in the win. He has a great combination with Terry McLaurin and we expect that to continue against a mediocre Seahawks secondary. While on defence, an ACL injury to Chase Young is a huge blow. However, they have been strong against the running game and that should help against Seattle's struggling run offence.
Low scoring affairs has been the play with the struggling Seahawks at the moment as the Under has saluted in 7 of their last 8 games. To top it off, the Under is also 5-1 when these two teams meet, including a 20-15 result last season.
Stadium Record
Washington is 2-3 at home this season. The Seahawks are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 at this venue.
Head to Head Record
The Seahawks won the last meeting in December, 20-15. Since 2003, the head to head is locked at 5-5.
Best Bet
Other NFL Week 12 Tips
Game | Best Bet
|
Bears at Lions | Under 42.5 = $1.82 |
Raiders at Cowboys | Raiders +7.5 = $1.87 |
Steelers at Bengals | Under 44.5 = $1.96 |
Panthers at Dolphins | Panthers -2.5 = $1.92 |
Buccaneers at Colts | Colts +3 = $1.92 |
Titans at Patriots | Under 45.5 = $1.76 |
Eagles at Giants | Over 45.5 = $1.89 |
Falcons at Jaguars | Under 46.5 = $1.91 |
Jets at Texans | Over 42.5 = $1.70 |
Chargers at Broncos | Chargers -2.5 = $1.85 |
Vikings at 49ers | Over 47.5 = $1.80 |
Rams at Packers | Under 47.5 = $1.92 |