Boston Celtics at Milwaukee Bucks
The Celtics come off a heartbreaking 2 point loss in Game 3 but will come into Game 4 with momentum. They scored 34 points in the 4th quarter and almost rallied from a 13 point deficit. It's fair to say Tatum had a tough time in Game 3 as he shot just 4 of 25 and finished with just 10 pts. So he should be fired up to get back on track in Game 4. Al Horford comes off an excellent outing in Game 3 as he scored 22 pts and collected 16 boards. He was well supported by Jaylen Brown with 27 pts but he'll rue a bad lay-up choice in the dying minutes. Marcus Smart returned from injury in Game 3 but struggled with his shot, going just 2 of 12. So the Celtics will be hoping he can recapture his form in a crucial Game 4.
The Bucks should be confident of a potential 3-1 series lead on their home court when they meet the Celtics this Tuesday. Giannis comes off his best outing in the playoffs thus far after 42 pts in Game 3 along with 12 boards. He's averaging 31.3 points in this series as well as 9 assists / 11 rebounds per game. Without Middleton on the court, Giannis will be in line for similar usage in Game 4. Holiday provided support with 25 points but struggled from the field, shooting 11 of 30. Wesley Matthews provided excellent defence on Tatum and that matchup will need to continue for the Bucks to advance in the series.
This has been a low scoring series thus far and the head to head odds look a close class. So we do prefer the Under, which is 3-0 in the first three games of the series. The Under is also 5-0 in the Bucks last 5 games and 4-1 when they play at home. Meanwhile, the Celtics are 5-1 against the Under and don't have a great record in Milwaukee.
Stadium Record
The Bucks are 4-1 in their last 5 home games. The Celtics have lost 8 of their last 9 in Milwaukee.
Head to Head Record
Milwaukee leads the series 2-1. In the last 10 meetings, the head to head is square at 5-5.
Best Bet
Memphis Grizzlies at Golden State Warriors
The Grizzlies will be disappointed in their 142-112 loss in Game 3 and they'll need to respond quickly in Game 4 on Tuesday. But to make matters worse, Ja Morant suffered a knee injury in Game 3 and will likely be doubtful for Tuesday's game. If he can't suit up, Tyus Jones will be the most likely starter at PG and Konchar will provide support off the bench. Their offence will be boosted by the return of the suspended Dillon Brooks and the Warriors crowd will be fired up when he gets the ball, that's for sure.
Golden State made a statement in game 3 with an offensive masterclass in the 30 point result. As a team, they shot 63% from the field and hit 53% of their 3 point attempts. Curry finished with 30 pts and Klay Thompson added 21 points with 4 threes. The improvement of Jordan Poole just continues as he scored 27 pts off the bench and went 14 of 22. While it's hard to see the Warriors shooting this well in Game 4, the Grizzlies are looking banged up and Golden State will be looking to strike as they look for a 3-1 series lead.
The Warriors have covered in 6 of their last 7 home games and come off a 30 pt win in game 3. With Ja Morant likely out with a knee injury, it's hard to see the Grizzlies scoring enough points to get near Golden State on their home court. Memphis has also struggled on the road with a 5-10 ATS record when they meet the Warriors.
Stadium Record
The Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. The Grizzlies have lost 14 of their last 19 on the road against Golden State.
Head to Head Record
Golden State leads the series 2-1 and has won 6 of the last 10 meetings.
Best Bet
