2024/25 NBA Finals - Pacers at Thunder (Game 7)
It all comes down to this. On Monday morning, the Thunder or Pacers will be crowned NBA champions if they win Game 7. The top-seeded Oklahoma City Thunder return home to face the Indiana Pacers. Can they show up at home after a dismal effort in Game 6? Here is a betting preview of a massive Game 7 NBA Finals clash in OKC.
Pacers at Thunder (Series tied 3-3)
The Pacers are riding high heading into Game 7 after steamrolling the Thunder 108-91 in Game 6. Back at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indiana looked sharp from the jump, dominating both ends of the court. Obi Toppin delivered one of his best performances of the postseason with 20 points and 6 rebounds on 50% shooting. Andrew Nembhard was just as impressive, putting up 17 points and 4 assists while hitting over 70% from the floor. It was a night where everything clicked for the Pacers — something they’ll need to replicate on the road if they want to advance.
Tyrese Haliburton’s health has been a major storyline this series, and he showed serious toughness playing through a strained right calf in Game 6. Reports suggested the injury would typically require multiple weeks of rest, but the 25-year-old suited up anyway and gave Indiana 23 solid minutes. He finished with 14 points and 5 assists before getting some well-earned rest late in the blowout. His availability and effectiveness in Game 7 will be critical, and punters should be keeping a close eye on his player props leading into tip-off.
Pascal Siakam has been one of the more consistent contributors for Indiana throughout the series. Not only has he dished out 4+ assists in four of the six games so far, but he’s also been a solid option in the rebounds + assists market. The veteran forward has gone OVER 10.5 combined in five of the six games, including each of his last three appearances. He’s finding more ways to impact the game, especially when Haliburton is limited or off the floor.
As for team trends, the Pacers are 13-6 straight up in their last 19 games — strong form by any standard. However, they’ve struggled a bit when playing in Oklahoma City, going just 2-4 against the spread in their last six road games there. The Thunder, despite being outplayed in Game 6, have shown flashes of dominance at home and will be banking on their crowd and early momentum to swing things back their way.
This Game 7 is shaping up to be a fascinating clash of styles: Indiana’s fast-paced, balanced attack versus OKC’s explosive backcourt and aggressive defence. Totals punters should note that several games this series have gone OVER thanks to some shootout-style finishes, but with the pressure of a Game 7, don’t be surprised if scoring slows down and defence tightens.
Keep an eye on player props like Siakam’s assists and combo markets, Toppin’s points, and Haliburton’s minutes if he’s on any restriction. If Indiana can keep sharing the ball and hitting shots like they did in Game 6, they’ll be a dangerous underdog heading into the final showdown.
The Thunder head back home for Game 7 after a rough showing in Game 6, falling 108-91 to the Pacers in Indianapolis. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander dropped 21 points on 46.7% shooting but had just 2 assists and 4 rebounds, while Jalen Williams added 16 points on similar efficiency.
Despite the loss, OKC remains the top seed in the West and will enjoy home-court advantage — something that’s paid off lately, with the Thunder going 8-1 straight up in their last nine home games. They’re also 4-2 ATS in their last six at home against Indiana and 17-3 SU in their last 20 games against Eastern Conference opponents. Historically, the home team wins Game 7 of the Finals nearly 79% of the time (15 of 19), and the Thunder will be hoping that trend holds strong.
It’s been nearly a decade since the last Finals Game 7, and there’s only been three since 2000. Oddly enough, none of those teams cracked 100 points, and even the best shooting effort in that span came from the Spurs in 2005 at just 42.6% from the field. That’s a far cry from today’s high-paced, foul-heavy style of play — but Game 7 pressure has a way of slowing everything down. Even with stars on the floor, scoring doesn't come easily in these moments.
Shai might be the guy to break the trend. He’s averaging 30.5 points per game in this series and was recently named both league and Western Conference Finals MVP. That said, he's gone under his 33.5-point line in three of the last four games, including the last two against Indiana.
If you're backing OKC, the numbers are on your side — top seed, dominant at home, and history favours the host in Game 7s. But with both teams trading blows all series, this one could come down to which superstar handles the moment best.
Stadium Record
The Thunder are 2-1 at home in the NBA Finals against the Pacers.
Head to Head Record
The NBA finals are tied 3-3 coming into Game 7.
Best Bet
No team has scored over 100 points in a Finals Game 7 in the past 25 years. In the 2024/2025 NBA Finals - four of the first six games have gone under as well. While both teams cracked 100 points in each of the first five games, the Thunder managed just 91 in Game 6. Under is also 5-2 in the Thunder's last 7 games.
Same Game Multi
Jalen Williams had a shocker in Game 6 but I think that will motivate him to show up in Game 7 for his team. He previously scored 40 pts in the Thunder's last home game and has beaten 20+ pts in 3 of his last 4 games. Siakam just missed 4 assists in his last game but he's been good at getting 4 or more assists - achieving the mark in 4 of his last 5. This offers nice value for this NBA finals multi.
Under 214.5 pts / Siakam 4+ assists / Jalen Williams 20+ pts = $6.50
