Rosehill Race 7 – 16:30 AEDT
3YO OPEN Group 1
2400m
Prize: $1,500,000
Soft - Heavy
Rail – Out 6m entire
Horse | Trainer | Jockey | Weight (kg) | Barrier | Current Price |
1. Avilius | James Cummings | James McDonald | 59.0 | 7 | $1.60 |
2. Muntahaa | D & B Hayes & T Dabernig | Mark Zahra | 59.0 | 1 | $51 |
3. Red Cardinal | Kris Lees | Kerrin McEvoy | 59.0 | 12 | $6.50 |
5. Sound | Michael Moroney | Damian Lane | 59.0 | 2 | $101 |
6. Patrick Erin | Chris Waller | Corey Brown | 59.0 | 6 | $31 |
7. Vengeur Masque | Michael Moroney | Patrick Maloney | 59.0 | 4 | $34 |
8. Big Duke | Kris Lees | Brenton Avdulla | 59.0 | 9 | $12.00 |
9. Ventura Storm | D & B Hayes & T Dabernig | Jamie Kah | 59.0 | 8 | $61 |
10. Yogi. | C Maher & D Eustace | Craig Williams | 59.0 | 3 | $27 |
12. Brimham Rocks | Chris Waller | Tommy Berry | 59.0 | 13 | $23 |
13. Ace High | David Payne | Jason Collett | 58.5 | 11 | $26 |
E14. Rondinella | R James & R Wellwood | Sam Clipperton | 56.5 | 10 | $15 |
E15. Nettoyer | Wendy Roche | Blake Shinn | 57.0 | 16 | $23 |
E16. Doukhan | Kris Lees | Glyn Schofield | 59.0 | 5 | $61 |
Odds correct as of 9am Friday 29 March
Race Overview
The 2019 Tancred Stakes sets up to be a fascinating race with Avilius lining up as the red hot favourite after a dominant display last week. Interestingly McEvoy, who rode Avilius last week has jumped ship and rides Red Cardinal here.
Race Speed
Ace High should run them along at a good clip here, with Vengeur Masque the other likely leader. Ventura Storm and Patrick Erin are likely to be the next pair, with Muntahaa likely to push forward off the inside draw. Avilius is likely to be right in the middle of the field and Red Cardinal will likely go back from the wide draw.
Key Runners
- AVILIUS ($1.60)
The obvious favourite here after a completely dominant performance last week in the Group 1 Ranvet Stakes. That was an important run for Avilius, not only because she flopped the start prior, but it was also his maiden Group 1 win. Deserved favourite after last weeks effort.
- RED CARDINAL ($6.50)
Looks to be the key danger to Avilius after scoring two consecutive wins this prep – both at Rosehill. Has ran in some high-quality races since coming to Aus and has performed admirably in them. Has really found his mojo this prep and if the favourite has any chinks in his armour, he can be the one to finish on top.
- BIG DUKE ($12.00)
Hasn’t scored a win since 2017 but has been close on many occasions, particularly this prep where he’s finished second twice. Last week just found one too good in Midterm but otherwise a nice lead in run for this race. No doubt raring to go for this one and could be the knockout chance.
Race Selection
- AVILIUS ($1.60)
Despite the short price, Avilius looks far too hard to beat coming off last weeks dominant display. Was likely flat the week before, but prior to that could not fault the form. The race overall looks weak and if Avilius brings his best form, he will be winning this race.