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Horse Racing Previews

Group 1 Manikato Stakes Betting Preview & Analysis

Moonee Valley Race 7 – 21:30 AEDT
OPEN Group 1
1200m
$1,000,000.00
Good 4
Rail true entire circuit

Horse Trainer Jockey Weight (kg) Barrier Current Price
1. Brave Smash Darren Weir Hugh Bowman 58.5 9 $9.00
2. Kementari James Cummings Glyn Schofield 58.5 12 $5.00
3. Malaguerra Peter Gelagotis Ben Melham 58.5 1 $11.00
4. Voodoo Lad Darren Weir Mark Zahra 58.5 8 $15.00
5. Jungle Edge Mick Bell Dylan Dunn 58.5 6 $27.00
6. Spirit of Valor A P O’Brien Oisin Murphy 58.5 14 $12.00
7. Intelligence Cross A P O’Brien E J McNamara 58.5 5 $81.00
8. U S Navy Flag A P O’Brien Ryan Moore 58.0 2 $7.50
9. Fleet Review A P O’Brien Kerrin McEvoy 58.0 11 $35.00
10. Houtzen Toby Edmonds Ryan Maloney 56.5 4 $7.50
11. Tulip D & B Hayes & T Dabernig Regan Bayliss 56.5 10 $35.00
12. Spright Garry Frazer Damien Oliver 56.5 13 $34.00
13. Invincible Star G Waterhouse & A Bott Stephen Baster 56.5 7 $18.00
14. Sunlight Tony McEvoy Tim Clark 51.0 3 $4.60

 *Odds correct as of 12pm Wednesday 24 October 2018

Race Overview

Traditionally, the Manikato Stakes is always run on the Friday night meeting prior to Saturday’s Cox Plate meeting. This year looks to be fairly open with all runners getting a decent shot in the race. It was originally known as the Freeway Stakes until it was named after champion horse Manikato – who won the race in 1982. Other notable winners of the race include; Chautauqua, Lankan Rupee, Buffering, Sunline and Redoute’s Choice.

Race Speed

Expect this to be a dash to the finish line with strong speed from a number of runners here. Jungle Edge could lead them from either Sunlight or Invincible Star. Houtzen shouldn’t be far away either and they are all drawn well. U S Navy Flag should be around midfield on the rails. Those out in the wider barriers such as Kementari and Spirit of Valour may struggle to find a position. Malaguerra and Spright will likely have to go back towards the rear.

Key Runners

  1. KEMENTARI ($5.50)

Has gradually moved up in distance this prep all the way up to 1600m, racing in Group 1’s the entire time. Has performed well in each start and nearly snatched the Group 1 Memsie two starts ago. Back in trip to 1200m here which suits in my opinion – also freshened which could benefit him in the shorter trip. One of the main chances.

  1. U S NAVY FLAG ($7.50)

Money has come for this Aidan O’Brien runner off the back of an Everest run where not much went his way – looked like the Heavy track was an issue. Back to drier ground here and fitter here is a huge plus.  July Cup winner over in England which looks like strong form for this race. World class jockey on too.

  1. SUNLIGHT ($4.60)

Has a tremendous record, particularly on a good track (8: 7-0-1) including a strong 1.3L win last start at Caulfield at Group 3 level. Should be up on the pace here which is always a benefit at the tight turning Valley track. This is a tough test for the speedy filly.

Race Selection

  1. U S NAVY FLAG ($7.50)

Aidan O’Brien has four runners in this race, but U S Navy Flag looks like his best chance. Completely forgive his last start in The Everest and look for a much-improved showing here in what is a much easier race. Money has come for him already and looks a very good chance here.

 

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