2025 AFL Round 19 Betting Predictions
We've hit Round 19 and the top 8 is starting to take shape. This weekend's AFL action starts at Marvel with the Giants looking for a top 4 spot as they take on the injury ravaged Bombers. Here's a betting preview of every game in AFL Round 19.
Essendon (14th) vs GWS Giants (7th)
The Bombers are going through a rough patch right now, coming into this clash with the Giants on a six-game losing streak and a 0-5 record from their last five matches. They've had a tough time on the road too, winning just two of their nine away games this season. Overall, they're sitting 14th on the ladder with a 6-10 record and are out of finals contention. One of their biggest issues has been around the contest—they rank last in the league for clearances, inside 50s, and goals kicked. That said, they do have a strength: they're the top team in the AFL for disposals, with Zach Merrett and Archie Roberts both racking up 31 touches in their most recent match. Unfortunately, that game ended in another ugly loss, going down 46-37 to the Tigers at the MCG. At home, they're a bit more competitive with a 4-3 record, but they’ll need to lift big time if they want to break this losing run against the Giants.
The Giants are in great form heading into their clash with the Bombers, riding a four-game winning streak and sitting 7th on the ladder with an 11-6 record. They've been solid both home and away—going 5-3 at home and 6-3 on the road—and are firming up their spot in the finals. They’ve won four of their last five games and come off a strong 26-point win over the Cats, where they nailed 17 goals at Sydney Showgrounds. Aaron Cadman was a standout with six goals, while Jake Stringer added four, and Lachie Whitfield racked up 32 disposals. One of their biggest strengths is their ball movement—they rank 4th in the league for disposals. However, they do have some room to improve in clearances, where they sit 14th overall. Still, with their current momentum, the Giants are looking sharp and will fancy their chances against a struggling Bombers outfit.
Stadium Record
Essendon are 4-6 in their last 10 games at Marvel. GWS are 5-5 in their last 10 games at Marvel.
Head to Head Record
The Giants are 3-2 against the Bombers in the last 5 meetings.
Best Bet
The Over has saluted in the last 6 games at Marvel and I think the Giants will score most of this total on the way to over 169.5 pts.
Same Game Multi
Bedford has hit the scoreboard in his last 3 games and offers great value at $2. Whitfield returned from injury last week with 32 touches and has 30+ in his last 2 games (excluding his injury game). He also loves playing in Victoria, hitting 30 or more in 5 of his last 6 outings.
Over 169.5 pts / Toby Bedford Anytime Goalscorer / Lachie Whitfield 30+ Disposals = $6.00
Brisbane Lions (2nd) vs Western Bulldogs (9th)
The Lions are flying high at the moment, sitting 2nd on the ladder with a 12-4 record and coming into this clash against the Bulldogs on a three-game winning streak. They’ve been rock-solid away from home this season with a 7-1-1 record, and they’re no slouch at home either, going 5-3. Their last outing was a dominant 37-point win over Carlton at Docklands, where they slotted 15 goals. Lachie Neale and Darcy Wilmot both had 31 disposals, while Charlie Cameron chipped in with three goals. Statistically, the Lions are one of the best in the comp—they rank 4th in clearances, 3rd for disposals, and 3rd for inside 50s. The only real concern is their tackling pressure, where they rank 17th in the league. Still, with form, class, and finals footy in sight, Brisbane are looking tough to beat.
The Bulldogs are sitting just outside the top 8 in 9th spot with a 10-7 record, and they’ve been in decent form lately, winning four of their last five. They are coming off a narrow 11-point loss to the Crows at Docklands, but there were still some standout performances—Marcus Bontempelli racked up 37 disposals and Aaron Naughton kicked five goals. The Dogs have been solid both home and away this season. Stat-wise, they’re one of the most dangerous attacking teams in the comp—ranking 1st for goals kicked, 2nd for inside 50s, 2nd for disposals, and 2nd for clearances. The only real knock is their tackling pressure, which sits 16th in the AFL. Still, with a strong midfield and scoring power, the Bulldogs have the tools to push any side and will be fired up to bounce back against the in-form Lions.
Stadium Record
Brisbane are 7-3 in their last 10 games at this venue. The Bulldogs are 2-8 at this venue since 2010.
Head to Head Record
In the last 10 meetings, the head to head is squared at 5-5.
Best Bet
The Over is a great bet with the Doggies involved, going 7-0. Should be good scoring conditions at the Gabba too.
Hawthorn (6th) vs Port Adelaide (11th)
The Hawks have quietly put together a strong season and currently sit 6th on the ladder with an 11-6 record. They’ve been especially tough to beat at home with a 6-1 record, and while they’re an even 5-5 on the road, they’ve still managed to win four of their last five games. Their most recent outing was a 13-point loss to the Dockers over in Perth, where Karl Amon collected 30 disposals and Calsher Dear booted three goals. One of Hawthorn’s biggest strengths is their ability to win the ball—they rank 5th in the AFL for disposals. Despite that recent loss, the Hawks are in good form, love playing in Tassie and will be keen to bounce back when they take on the Power.
The Power are hanging around the middle of the pack, sitting 11th on the ladder with an 8-9 record and coming off a solid 26-point win over the Eagles at Adelaide Oval, where they kicked 12 goals. Zak Butters was massive with 38 disposals, while Mitchell Georgiades and Jason Horne-Francis both chipped in with three goals each. They've won three of their last five and are hoping to build some momentum, but their away form has been a worry—just two wins from seven games on the road. Statistically, the Power have had trouble converting up forward, ranking 14th for goals kicked, and their tackling pressure also leaves a bit to be desired at 15th in the league. That said, they’ve still got the talent to challenge, and they’ll be out to keep their finals hopes alive with a strong showing against the Hawks.
Stadium Record
Hawthorn are 9-1 in their last 10 games at UTAS. Port Adelaide are 0-3 at this venue since 2010.
Head to Head Record
The Power are 4-1 against the Hawks in the last 5 meetings.
Best Bet
The Hawks know this ground well and have a great defensive record so I like the Under, which is 4-0 in this matchup as well.
Sydney Swans (10th) vs North Melbourne (16th)
The Swans are building some momentum heading into their clash with the Kangaroos, having won four of their last five and coming off a tight 5-point win over St Kilda at Docklands where they slotted 14 goals. Jake Lloyd and Will Hayward both kicked three each in that one. They’re now 8-9 on the season and sit just outside the top 8 in 10th spot. One area they’ve struggled in all year is disposals, ranking 15th in the comp, but their recent form has shown they can still find ways to win. With a two-game winning streak behind them, the Swans will be keen to keep pushing for a finals spot.
The Kangaroos have had a tough season so far, sitting 16th on the ladder with just 4 wins and 12 losses. They’ve dropped their last three games, including a 36-point loss to the Demons at the MCG where Cooper Harvey kicked four goals, and both Jack Darling and Cam Zurhaar chipped in with three each. While they’ve struggled to get the ball inside 50, one big strength is their work around stoppages—they’re ranked 2nd in the AFL for clearances. They’ve only won two of eight away games and Xerri out is a blow as they face the red-hot Brodie Grundy. With just one win from their last five, the Roos will need to dig deep if they’re to have any chance to upset a Swans side pushing for finals.
Stadium Record
Sydney are 5-5 in their last 10 games at SCG. North Melbourne are 2-5 at this venue since 2010.
Head to Head Record
In the last 10 meetings, the Swans hold a 9-1 record against the Kangaroos.
Best Bet
The Over is 5-1 in this matchup and I think the Swans will score 100+ easily with Xerri out for the Roos.
Carlton (12th) vs Melbourne (13th)
The Blues are in a bit of a slump right now, sitting 12th on the ladder with a 6-11 record and riding a four-game losing streak. They’ve only managed one win from their last five, and their most recent outing was a 37-point loss to the Lions at Docklands. George Hewett was a standout with 33 disposals, but overall it’s been a rough stretch. Carlton have struggled both at home and away, and scoring has been a major issue—they rank 15th in the AFL for goals kicked. On the positive side, they’re one of the better teams at the contest, sitting 5th in clearances and 3rd in tackling. They'll need to lean on those strengths if they want to turn things around against a tough Demons outfit.
The Demons finally broke a four-game losing streak last week with a solid 36-point win over North Melbourne at the MCG, where they piled on 18 goals. Jake Melksham was on fire with five majors, Christian Petracca racked up 31 disposals, and Bayley Fritsch added three goals of his own. Despite that win, they’ve had a tough season overall—sitting 13th on the ladder with a 6-11 record. Their home form hasn’t been great, and they’ve struggled even more on the road. Like the Blues, the Dees are trying to find consistency and keep their finals hopes alive, so expect them to come out swinging in this one.
Stadium Record
Carlton are 3-7 in their last 10 games at this venue. In their last 10 games at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, Melbourne hold a 4-6 record.
Head to Head Record
In the last 10 meetings, the Swans hold a 9-1 record against the Kangaroos.
Best Bet
Love the Under trend in this matchup, it's 7-0 and the Blues aren't kicking goals.
West Coast Eagles (18th) vs Richmond (17th)
The Eagles are having a really tough season, sitting rock bottom of the ladder with just one win and sixteen losses. They’re on a seven-game losing streak and haven’t managed to win a single away game all year, going 0-9 on the road. Their last match was another loss, falling 87-61 to the Power at Adelaide Oval. Statistically, they’re struggling across the board—ranked last in the AFL for clearances and disposals, near the bottom for goals kicked, inside 50 entries, and tackling. Their only win came at home, but even there, they’re 1-7. It’s been a rough year for the Eagles, and they’ll be desperate to turn things around soon.
The Tigers have had a tough season, sitting 17th on the ladder with a 4-13 record. They’re struggling in almost every key area—ranked near the bottom for clearances, disposals, goals kicked, inside 50 entries, and tackling. Their away form has been particularly rough, losing all eight games on the road so far. They’re coming off a narrow 9-point win against Essendon at the MCG, where Tim Taranto had a solid 34 disposals. At home, they’re a bit more competitive with a 4-5 record, but overall, it’s been a challenging year. With just one win in their last five matches, the Tigers will be looking to build some momentum in this one against the Eagles.
Stadium Record
West Coast are 2-7 (1 draw) in their last 10 games at Optus Stadium. Richmond are 3-2 in their last 5 games at this venue.
Head to Head Record
In the last 10, the Tigers are 8-2 against the Eagles.
Best Bet
This should be a winnable game for the Eagles at home and they looked solid last week in a tough road loss in Adelaide. Richmond are woeful away from home, losing their last 13.
West Coast Eagles -3.5 = $1.90
Geelong Cats (4th) vs St Kilda (15th)
The Cats are sitting comfortably in 4th spot on the ladder with an 11-6 record, coming off a loss to the Giants at Sydney Showgrounds where they went down 111-85. Despite that defeat, they’ve been strong all season, especially at home with a 6-2 record, and they’re a tough side to beat away too, sitting 5-4 on the road. Their strengths lie in their attack and pressure—they’re ranked 2nd in the AFL for goals kicked and tackling, and 5th for inside 50 entries. Shannon Neale was a standout in the last game, kicking five goals. The only area they’ve struggled with is disposals, ranking 14th in the league. With a solid mix of firepower and pressure, the Cats will be looking to bounce back hard against the Saints.
The Saints are really struggling at the moment, sitting 15th on the ladder with a 5-12 record and currently on a five-game losing streak. Their recent form hasn’t been great either, losing their last five matches, including a tight 5-point loss to the Swans at Docklands. Marcus Windhager stood out with 36 disposals and Max Hall kicked three goals in that game, but the team overall has struggled to get the ball inside 50, ranking 14th in the AFL. Their home form is patchy at 3-7, and they’re only 2-5 away from home. The Saints will need a big effort if they want to turn their season around against a strong Cats side.
Stadium Record
Geelong are 7-3 in their last 10 games at Kardinia Park. St Kilda are 0-7 at this venue since 2010.
Head to Head Record
In the last 10 meetings, the Cats hold a 6-4 record against the Saints.
Best Bet
The Cats should get back on track against the Saints but I like the Over, it's 4-1 in the Saints last 5.
Collingwood (1st) vs Fremantle (8th)
The Magpies are topping the ladder with a strong 14-3 record this season, and they’ve been solid both at home and away. They’re coming off a close 69-63 loss to the Suns at Carrara but have still won four of their last five games. Jamie Elliott was impressive last game with three goals, and Josh Daicos racked up 32 disposals. The Magpies are a tough side to beat when it comes to scoring—they’re ranked 5th in the AFL for goals kicked—and they lead the league in tackling. Their only noticeable weakness is around clearances, where they sit 14th. Overall, they’re in great form and will be keen to bounce back strong against the Dockers.
The Dockers are holding on to 8th spot on the ladder with an 11-6 record and coming off a solid 13-point win over Hawthorn at Perth Stadium where they kicked 12 goals. They’ve been in good form lately, winning four of their last five games, and have been strong at home with a 6-2 record. Away from home, they’re a bit more balanced at 5-4. Sam Switkowski led the charge last game with three goals, while Jordan Clark collected 31 disposals. One area they’ve struggled with all season is disposals, ranking 16th in the AFL, but overall they’re doing enough to stay in the finals hunt and will be looking to keep the momentum going against the Magpies.
Stadium Record
Collingwood are 9-1 in their last 10 games at MCG. Fremantle are 2-3 in their last 5 games at this venue.
Head to Head Record
In the last 10, the Magpies hold a 6-3 (1 draws) record.
Best Bet
Should be a tough game at the MCG and I don't mind the Dockers as an underdog. But the Under looks a better play, it's 4-1 in their last 5 away from home.
Adelaide Crows (3rd) vs Gold Coast Suns (5th)
The Crows are flying high at 3rd on the ladder with a 12-5 record and are on a three-game winning streak. They recently beat the Bulldogs by 11 points at Docklands, kicking 16 goals in total, with Riley Thilthorpe smashing six and Darcy Fogarty adding three. Adelaide has been tough to beat at home this season with a 7-1 record and have been solid on the road too, sitting 5-4. Their attack is one of the best in the league—they’re ranked 2nd for goals kicked and 4th for both inside 50 entries and tackling. With their current form and firepower, the Crows will be confident taking on the Suns.
The Suns are in great form right now, sitting 5th on the ladder with an 11-5 record and riding a three-game winning streak. They recently pulled off a close 6-point win over Collingwood at Carrara, kicking 10 goals. Their home record is strong at 6-1, and they’re holding their own away with a 5-4 record. The Suns are one of the best teams around stoppages, ranking 1st in clearances and inside 50 entries, and they’re also up there for goals kicked and tackling. Key players like John Noble, Noah Anderson, and Matthew Rowell have been busy recently, all racking up around 30 disposals each against the Pies. With that kind of form and firepower, the Suns will be confident taking on the Crows.
Stadium Record
Adelaide are 8-2 in their last 10 games at Adelaide Oval. Gold Coast are 0-11 at this venue since 2010.
Head to Head Record
The Suns are 4-1 against the Crows in the last 5 meetings.
Best Bet
Gold Coast have never won at this venue but we know they are a different team this season. So I like the Over between these two attacking sides and the Suns have a 6-1 Overs record at the Adelaide Oval.
