2025 AFL Round 13 Betting Predictions
Round 13 kicks off in Melbourne with the Doggies looking to get back into the top 8 when they face the struggling Hawks on Thursday night footy. Here is a betting preview of every game in Round 12.
Western Bulldogs (9th) vs Hawthorn (6th)
The Bulldogs are set to face the Hawks this week after coming off a bye. Currently sitting 9th on the ladder with a 6-5 record, they've had a solid season overall. At home, they’ve been strong with a 4-2 record, but their form on the road hasn't been as convincing at 2-3. They’re coming off a tough loss to the Cats at Kardinia Park, going down 127 to 113, which snapped a bit of momentum (L1 streak). The Dogs have some clear strengths—they lead the AFL in clearances and rank second in disposals, goals kicked, and inside 50s, showing they’re dangerous with the ball in hand. However, tackling has been an issue all season, and they’re currently ranked 17th in that department. With a 3-2 record over their last five games, the Bulldogs will be looking to bounce back strong against the Hawks and stay in the finals hunt.
The Hawks are taking on the Bulldogs this week, looking to snap a three-game losing streak. They’re currently 6th on the ladder with a 7-5 record, but their recent form hasn’t been great, going 2-3 in their last five. Last round, they were well beaten by the Magpies at the MCG, going down 107 to 56. While they’ve been strong at home with a 4-1 record, their away form has been shaky at 3-4. One of their biggest issues this season has been around the stoppages—they rank 15th in the AFL for clearances. Despite some solid wins earlier in the year, the Hawks will need to tighten things up if they want to get back on track against a tough Bulldogs outfit.
Stadium Record
The Bulldogs are 9-1 in their last 10 games at Marvel. Hawthorn are 4-1 in their last 5 games at this venue.
Head to Head Record
In the last 10 meetings, the head to head is squared at 5-5.
Best Bet
The Over is 5-0 when the Hawks play at Marvel and they'll be missing Sicily down back. The Dogs are one of the best attacking teams in the AFL and should enjoy plenty of chances to kick 100+ pts under the roof.
Same Game Multi
Ed Richards continues to give value odds in the anytime goalscorer markets. He's kicked a goal in 6 straight games and $1.70 is a great price considering his form. Treloar is finally back from injury and I don't think he'll be rusty. He loves playing at Marvel with 26+ touches in his last 11 games here.
Over 171.5 pts / Ed Richards Anytime Goalscorer / Adam Treloar 25+ disposals = $1.60
Adelaide Crows (3rd) vs Brisbane Lions (2nd)
The Crows are flying high heading into their clash with the Lions, sitting 3rd on the ladder with an 8-4 record and riding a two-game winning streak. They’re coming off a massive 90-point win over the Swans at the SCG, where they kicked 21 goals and had 14 different goal kickers—Keays and Rachele bagged three each. At home, they’ve been dominant with a 5-1 record, and they’ve held their own on the road at 3-3. Offensively, they’re one of the best in the comp—ranked 1st in goals kicked and top 4 for both inside 50s and tackling. With a 4-1 record in their last five, the Crows are in great form and will be looking to keep the momentum going against the Lions.
The Lions head into their matchup with the Crows sitting 2nd on the ladder with a strong 9-2 record and riding a two-game winning streak. They’re coming off an 18-point win over Essendon at the Gabba, where they kicked 13 goals—McCluggage was everywhere with 41 disposals and Lohmann chipped in with 3 goals. They’ve been solid at home (4-2) but even better on the road with a 5-1 record away. Stat-wise, the Lions are right up there—ranked 3rd in the league for clearances, disposals, and inside 50s, showing their strength through the midfield. The one area they struggle is tackling, where they sit 15th, which could be a factor against a physical Crows side. With a 3-1-1 record over their last five, the Lions are in good shape heading into this top-four clash.
Stadium Record
Adelaide are 7-3 in their last 10 games at Adelaide Oval. Brisbane are 4-4 (1 draw) at this venue since 2018.
Head to Head Record
The Lions are 3-1 (1 draw) against the Crows in the last 5 meetings.
Best Bet
Should be a close game and the Lions are 11-0 against the spread as an underdog.
Richmond (16th) vs Sydney Swans (14th)
The Tigers head into their clash with the Swans sitting 16th on the ladder with a tough 3-9 record and stuck in a three-game losing streak. They came close last week but fell short against the Giants, losing 80 to 77 at Sydney Showgrounds. While they’ve been decent at home with a 3-3 record, their away form has been a disaster—0-6 so far. Statistically, it’s been a rough season across the board. The Tigers rank near the bottom of the AFL in key areas like clearances (17th), disposals (17th), goals kicked (18th), inside 50s (18th), and tackles (18th). With just one win in their last five, they’ll need to dig deep to challenge a strong Swans side.
The Swans come into this week’s matchup with the Tigers off the back of a brutal 90-point loss to the Crows at the SCG—a performance they'd probably rather forget. Sitting 14th on the ladder with a 4-8 record, things haven’t quite clicked this season. They've lost their last two and are 2-3 over their past five games. Whether at home or on the road, their form has been pretty even—2-4 in both. Stat-wise, the Swans have struggled in key areas, ranking 14th in both disposals and goals kicked. It hasn’t been the season they were hoping for, but up against a struggling Tigers outfit, this could be a good chance to bounce back.
Stadium Record
Richmond are 2-8 in their last 10 games at MCG. Sydney are 2-8 in their last 10 games at this venue.
Head to Head Record
In the last 5 meetings, the Swans have won 3 games against the Tigers.
Best Bet
Expect a response from the Swans but their form at the MCG isn't great. This will probably be a low scoring grind with the Tigers going 8-0 against the Under in their last 8.
Geelong Cats (5th) vs Gold Coast Suns (4th)
The Cats head into their clash with the Suns sitting 5th on the ladder with an 8-4 record and riding a three-game winning streak. They’ve been strong both at home (4-1) and on the road (4-3), and their recent form is solid with four wins from their last five. Despite a surprising loss to the Eagles at Perth Stadium last round, they still had standout performers—Cameron booted five goals and Bailey Smith racked up 38 disposals. The Cats are dangerous up forward, ranked 3rd in the league for goals kicked, and they bring the heat defensively too, leading the AFL in tackles. The one area they lag is disposals, where they sit 16th, but overall, they’re in great shape heading into this matchup.
The Suns head into their showdown with the Cats sitting 4th on the ladder with a strong 8-3 record, despite a narrow 11-point loss to the Dockers at Carrara last round. They’ve been solid both home and away this season (4-1 at home, 4-2 away), and their recent form isn’t too bad at 3-2 from the last five. Noah Anderson was huge in their last game with 39 disposals, while Flanders chipped in with 3 goals. Statistically, the Suns have been one of the best attacking teams in the comp—they're ranked 1st in inside 50s, 4th for goals kicked, and 5th for clearances. They’ll be keen to bounce back this week against a tough Cats outfit and keep themselves right in the top-four mix.
Stadium Record
Geelong are 7-3 in their last 10 games at Kardinia Park. Gold Coast are 0-4 at this venue since 2018.
Head to Head Record
The Cats are 6-2 against the Suns since 2018.
Best Bet
This should be one of the games of the round and I expect points to flow, the Over is 6-1 when these sides play in Geelong.
GWS Giants (7th) vs Port Adelaide (15th)
The Giants come into their clash with the Power sitting 7th on the ladder with a 7-5 record and building some momentum on a two-game winning streak. They scraped past the Tigers last round at Sydney Showgrounds with a tight 3-point win, kicking 12 goals—Ash was everywhere with 36 disposals and Brown slotted 3 majors. They've been fairly consistent both home (3-2) and away (4-3), and their form over the last five is solid at 3-2. The Giants are strong with the ball in hand, ranking 4th in the league for disposals, but clearances have been an issue—they sit 16th in that stat. Still, they’re in a decent spot and will be looking to keep their spot in the top eight with a win over Port.
The Power are really struggling at the moment, sitting 15th on the ladder with a 4-7 record and coming off four straight losses. They had a bye last week, but before that they were comfortably beaten by the Dockers at Perth Stadium, going down 100 to 51. Their away form has been a big issue this season with just one win from five games, and they haven’t fared much better at home either (3-3). Stat-wise, they’ve had a tough time generating scoreboard pressure, ranking 15th for goals kicked and 14th for tackles. With just one win from their last five, the Power will need to lift big time if they want to get over the top of a Giants side that's been finding some rhythm.
Stadium Record
GWS are 4-6 in their last 10 games at Manuka Oval.
Head to Head Record
The Power are 3-2 against the Giants in the last 5 meetings.
Best Bet
The Power have an 8-1 Unders record interstate and the Giants don't have a great record in Canberra. So I like the Under.
North Melbourne (17th) vs West Coast Eagles (18th)
The Kangaroos are having a tough season, sitting 17th on the ladder with a 2-8 record and coming off a heavy 45-point loss to the Magpies at Docklands. Their recent form hasn’t been great either, going 1-1-3 in their last five games. At home, they’re struggling with just one win, one draw, and four losses, and their away form is also poor at 1-4. They’re solid when it comes to clearances, ranked 2nd in the AFL, but their big issue is inside 50 entries, where they sit 16th. They’ll need to improve in that area if they want to challenge the Eagles and turn their season around.
The Eagles are really struggling this season, sitting last on the ladder with a 1-11 record and currently on a two-game losing streak. They’ve had a tough time both at home (1-5) and away (0-6), and their recent form hasn’t been great with just one win in their last five games. Statistically, they’re near the bottom across the board—ranked last or close to last in clearances, disposals, goals kicked, inside 50 entries, and tackling. Their last game was a scoreless draw against the Cats at Perth Stadium, which shows how tough things have been. Facing the Kangaroos, they’ll be desperate to turn things around and grab their second win of the year.
Stadium Record
Both sides are yet to play here.
Head to Head Record
Since 2018, the Kangaroos are 5-4 against the Eagles.
Best Bet
These two sides usually matchup well and I expect it to be low scoring as the Under has saluted in North's last 4 games.
Carlton (13th) vs Essendon (10th)
The Blues have had a rough run lately, sitting 13th on the ladder with a 4-7 record and coming off two losses in a row. They had a bye last week but before that fell 28 points to the Giants at Docklands. At home, they’re 2-3, and their away form is a bit worse at 2-4. Despite their struggles, the Blues are strong in key areas like clearances and inside 50 entries, both ranked 4th in the AFL, and they’re solid tacklers too, sitting 2nd in the league. They’ll need to bring that intensity if they want to get a win against the Bombers.
The Bombers come into this one sitting 10th on the ladder with a 6-5 record, but they’re on a bit of a downer after a loss to the Lions at the Gabba, 90-72. They’ve been solid at home with a 4-1 record but have struggled a bit away, sitting 2-4. The Bombers’ big strength is their disposal game—they’re ranked number one in the AFL for that—but they do have some clear weaknesses in clearances, goals kicked, and inside 50 entries, all ranking in the mid-teens. They’ll need to tighten up those areas if they want to bounce back against the Blues.
Stadium Record
In their last 10 games at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, Carlton hold a 5-5 record. Essendon are 4-6 in their last 10 games at this venue.
Head to Head Record
In the last 5 meetings, the Blues hold a 4-1 record against the Bombers.
Best Bet
The Blues and Bombers renew their rivalry at the G and the Under has saluted in the Blues last 7 games at this venue. Expect a fair lowing affair.
Melbourne (12th) vs Collingwood (1st)
The Demons head into this one sitting 12th on the ladder with a 5-7 record overall. They’re coming off a tough, scoreless draw against the Saints at TIO Traeger Park and have lost their last game, breaking a bit of momentum. At home, they’ve struggled a bit more with a 3-5 record, while they’re pretty even on the road at 2-2. Their last five games have been a mixed bag, going 3-2, so they’ll be looking to build some consistency against the Magpies.
The Magpies are in great form right now, sitting top of the ladder with a solid 10-2 record this season. They’re on a four-game winning streak after smashing Hawthorn by 51 points at the MCG, kicking 16 goals in that game alone. They’ve been strong both at home and away, boasting a 6-1 home record and 4-1 on the road. The Magpies are up there in the AFL rankings too, sitting 5th for goals kicked and 3rd for tackling, showing they’re tough all over the ground. Elliott was a standout with five goals last game, while Nick Daicos racked up 32 disposals, so they’ll be confident heading into the clash with the Demons.
Stadium Record
Melbourne are 4-6 in their last 10 games at this venue. In their last 5 games at MCG, Collingwood holds a 4-1 record.
Head to Head Record
In the last 10, the Magpies are 8-2 against the Demons.
Best Bet
Hard to go past the Pies at the MCG. They're 10-1 against the Dees at this venue and Melbourne are coming off a rough trip to the NT, which may hurt them in latter stages of this tough matchup.
