A struggling Tigers outfit head to Newcastle to take on the high-flying Knights in Round 17 of the NRL this Sunday.
Newcastle Knights vs Wests Tigers
Newcastle are having one of their best starts to a season in recent memory, winning nine of their first 14 matches for fifth on the table.
They're in particularly good nick this month, having won five of their last six including a gritty victory over the Dragons most recently.
The same can't be said for the Tigers, who have slipped to 10th on the ladder after losing five of their last seven.
Leg 1 - Knights Win Both Halves
With the Knights' spine at full strength thanks to the return of Kalyn Ponga from Origin duties, it's hard to see them not dominating from start to finish here.
They'll be set on revenge after slipping to a heavy defeat against the Tigers in Round 6, so should start strong.
Come the second half, Newcastle's bench is stronger and Wests have a track record of fading, so a big finish is likely.
Leg 2 - Over 50.5 Points Total
The Knights have racked up plenty of points recently, scoring just shy of 34 points per match on average across their last six.
Wests, meanwhile, have the third-worst defence in the competition, conceding 417 points so far this season, close to 30 per game.
Their last meeting produced 64 points, and it wouldn't be a stretch to see that mark hit again on Sunday.
Leg 3 - Dom Young to Score
Young has 14 tries for the Knights this season, taking his career tally to 87 NRL tries.
The winger is unlucky to have not scored in his past three matches, with five line breaks, 15 tackle breaks and two try assists to his name.
Expect him to add to his try tally on Sunday though, given the Tigers' leaky edge defence.
Same Game Multi
Knights Win Both Halves / Over 50.5 / Young to Score = $5.80
Value Bet
Four of the Tigers' last five losses have been blowouts, with margins of 68, 28, 28 and 42.
Even their most recent loss, their best effort in a losing cause since mid-April, was a 14-point defeat.
Combine this with Newcastle's red-hot attack, and the hosts covering a -16.5 margin is a strong value bet.
