Eight games feature on Saturday’s NBA slate, including the Timberwolves travelling to Golden State. However, it’s the matchup between Utah and Portland that presents the best value.
Utah Jazz @ Portland Trail Blazers
The Jazz have effectively thrown in the towel for the season, but their shortened rotation is providing plenty of betting value.
Portland meanwhile is locked into the play-in tournament and will continue pushing up the standings to give themselves the best chance of reaching the playoffs.
LEG 1 - Jrue Holiday Over 27.5 PRA
Holiday’s numbers take a slight hit with the return of Deni Avdija, but this matchup against Utah looks like the perfect bounce-back opportunity.
The Jazz concede points to point guards 13% above league average over the last month, along with rebounds 15% above average and assists 10% above average.
Prior to a poor outing against Charlotte, Holiday averaged 20.6 points, 4.6 rebounds and 5.9 assists across a 14-game stretch. Expect a strong response here.
LEG 2 - Brice Sensabaugh 15+ Points
Utah’s rotation is extremely thin, with two players in their current lineup yet to play an NBA game prior to this stretch.
Sensabaugh is averaging 18.2 points across the five games he has played without Keyonte George and Lauri Markkanen.
He enters this matchup in good form after scoring 29 points against the Knicks and 21 against Golden State.
LEG 3 - Kyle Filipowski Over 26.5 PRA
Filipowski has been impressive as Utah’s starting centre and this Portland matchup suits him well, particularly as a big who can stretch the floor.
Centres are scoring 34% above average against the Trail Blazers over the last month, while rebounds are up 8% above league average.
Across his last six games Filipowski is averaging 15.5 points, 11 rebounds and 4.7 assists, giving him another strong opportunity to clear this line.
Same Game Multi
Holiday Over 27.5 PRA / Sensabaugh 15+ Points / Filipowski Over 26.5 PRA = $4.20
VALUE BET - Kyle Filipowski 2+ 3PM @ $2.60
Stretch fives are extremely effective against Portland.
Over the last month the Trail Blazers concede threes to centres 62% above league average, making them the second easiest team for opposing bigs to hit triples against.
Filipowski has made two triples just once across his last 11 games but has hit at least one in nine of those contests, meaning he’s regularly around the mark. The 3+ triples option at $6.25 is also worth a small sprinkle.
