2017 Coleman Medal Betting Update
There are only seven rounds left in the AFL home and away season, and while the premiership battle is close and the Brownlow Medal might already be down to two, the Coleman Medal race is wide open. Lance Franklin currently sits on top but the pack is right behind him. Below is the current goalkicking tally board.
| Player | Team | Goals | Current BlueBet Odds |
| Lance Franklin | Sydney | 43 | $2.00 |
| Jeremy Cameron | GWS | 41 | $3.75 |
| Joe Daniher | Essendon | 41 | $4.00 |
| Eddie Betts | Adelaide | 39 | $10 |
| Ben Brown | North Melbourne | 38 | $34 |
| Robbie Gray | Port Adelaide | 38 | $13 |
| Taylor Walker | Adelaide | 37 | $23 |
| Tom Hawkins | Geelong | 36 | $26 |
| Jack Riewoldt | Richmond | 36 | $26 |
| Tom Lynch | Gold Coast | 35 | $23 |
| Josh Kennedy | West Coast | 34 | $10 |
Predicting who is going to be leading in seven weeks is a challenging task. There are many variables such as a player’s goalkicking accuracy, the quality of the opposition and whether there are multiple teammates who can kick goals. Here are some examples to put this into context. Franklin has currently kicked 2 more goals than any other player, however, he has kicked 15 more behinds than the next player, which happens to be Daniher. If his conversion rate was better, he would have a greater lead. Essendon’s run home is pretty good. Of their seven remaining games, they only play two teams that currently sit in the top 8. Those teams are St Kilda and Adelaide, and they play the Crows in Victoria. Jeremy Cameron is only 2 goals behind Franklin. While Franklin has to worry about opposition fullbacks like Phil Davis and Tom Lonergan in the coming weeks, Cameron has the other problem of meddling teammates. Fellow forwards, Jon Patton and Toby Greene, have kicked 31 and 30 goals each, while Sydney’s next best is Sam Reid, who has 22. To aid your Coleman Medal predictions, I have gone through the top eleven’s run home. I have searched each player’s career average against their future opponents and have added that to their current status. The results are below.
| Player | Team | Current Goals | Predicted Goals for last 7 Rounds | Predicted Total |
| Lance Franklin | Sydney | 43 | 21 | 64 |
| Jeremy Cameron | GWS | 41 | 13 | 54 |
| Jack Riewoldt | Richmond | 36 | 17 | 53 |
| Joe Daniher | Essendon | 41 | 11* | 52* |
| Eddie Betts | Adelaide | 39 | 13 | 52 |
| Taylor Walker | Adelaide | 37 | 15 | 52 |
| Josh Kennedy | West Coast | 34 | 18 | 52 |
| Ben Brown | North Melbourne | 38 | 13 | 51 |
| Tom Hawkins | Geelong | 36 | 12 | 48 |
| Tom Lynch | Gold Coast | 35 | 12 | 47 |
| Robbie Gray | Port Adelaide | 38 | 9* | 47* |
* Joe Daniher’s averages are not as reflective as other players because he is younger and has a smaller sample size. * Robbie Gray’s averages are not as reflective as other players because he has changed roles this year. He has largely played as a forward in 2017, while his averages take into account his many games as a midfielder. The results predict a clear Franklin victory. Daniher is the unknown, due to his skewed averages, however the facts are; Franklin has had 84 shots at goal this year, while Daniher is next best with 67. With so many shots at goal and the runs on the board, Franklin looms as your 2017 Coleman Medallist. For the latest Coleman Medal market, click here.
