Two teams locked on 20 points clash to round out NRL Round 16 this Sunday, with the Roosters hosting the Sharks at Allianz Stadium in Sydney.
Sydney Roosters vs Cronulla Sharks
While both sides have near-identical records heading into this clash, their form couldn't be more different.
The Sharks are surging, edging a gritty one against the Warriors last week to extend their winning streak to four in a row.
The Roosters, meanwhile, are floundering after their own mid-season string of victories. They've now got just one win from their last four matches, and were thrashed 48-10 by the Dolphins last weekend.
Each club welcomes back a handful of Origin players, with the Roosters hoping the likes of James Tedesco and Mark Nawaqanitawase can inject some spark into their attack.
Leg 1 - Sharks +4.5
The value of Cronulla's momentum is being underestimated heading into this clash.
Their win last round was ugly, but will have given them plenty of confidence that they can get the job done on the road, particularly with big names like Addin Fonua-Blake back in their line-up.
The Roosters may get some star-power back from Origin, but those are players who just emptied the tank in a losing cause on Wednesday night.
At the very least this should be a close affair, if not a Sharks win outright.
Leg 2 - Over 46.5 Points Total
These teams have a history of producing high-scoring matches.
Two months ago, they combined for 56 points at Optus Stadium, while three of the four before that exceeded 46.5 points too.
A few tired bodies from Origin will open up defensive holes, so expect this trend to continue.
Leg 3 - Nawaqanitawase to Score
Nawaqanitawase is in searing form, bagging two screamers against Queensland in Origin Game 2, one of which he had absolutely no right to score.
The Roosters' winger has been crossing over regularly in the NRL too, with seven tries in his last four matches.
It's hard to see him staying off the scoreboard in this one.
Same Game Multi
Sharks +4.5 / Over 46.5 / Nawaqanitawase to Score = $4.80
Value Bet
There's simply too much value in this market to avoid getting involved for a small stake.
Cronulla should start the faster of the two sides, with less Origin hangover in their squad and more confidence on the field.
If they get to half-time ahead, that's when doubt will creep into the Roosters' camp and the Sharks should manage to close the game out as well.
