The Canberra Raiders host the Sydney Roosters at GIO Stadium this Friday in a table-spanning NRL Round 14 clash.
Canberra Raiders vs Sydney Roosters
The Roosters sit third while the Raiders are down in 12th, but there's a stark contrast in form between the two sides.
Canberra put together one of their best performances of the season last week to see off the Cowboys 26-12, while Sydney have slipped to back-to-back defeats after winning six in a row.
Leg 1 - Raiders to Win
The Roosters looked woeful last round, committing 18 errors for their worst completion rate of the season against the Storm.
Origin star James Tedesco was back in the squad too, so there's little excuse for Sydney's poor form.
Canberra receive their own Origin absentees back this round, with Hudson Young and Ethan Strange in the run-on team.
They've won four of the last five against the Roosters and despite being slight underdogs this time, should get the job done.
Leg 2 - Under 48.5 Points Total
Canberra haven't cracked 30 points since Round 6, while the Roosters have only scored 16 points across their last two matches combined.
This shapes as a low-scoring affair, following the recent head-to-head trend between these sides where three of the last five have fallen under 48.5 points total.
Leg 3 - Kaeo Weekes to Score
Weekes is having a strong season at fullback for the Raiders, sitting third in the competition for line breaks at 59 from 11 games.
He's converted plenty of those into tries, with eight so far this season including four in his last five matches.
Last week against the Cowboys he pounced on a deflection to score, so look for him to once again be Canberra's opportunistic finisher in this match.
Same Game Multi
Raiders to Win / Under 48.5 / Weekes to Score = $8.00
Value Bet
Four of the last five clashes between the Roosters and Raiders have been decided by six points or less.
This season, Canberra have had a penchant for tight wins, with their first three of the season all coming by four points or less.
An improved showing can be expected from the Roosters this week, and while Canberra should close it out in front of their home fans, a tight scoreline is likely.
