It’s a massive Saturday slate featuring potential Conference Finals previews in both divisions. The Pistons host the Cavaliers in the East, while Denver travels to Oklahoma City in what could be a Western Conference Finals teaser.
Denver Nuggets @ OKC Thunder
Denver secured a big win over the in-form Celtics last start, although Jamal Murray exited early due to illness.
The Thunder have won five of their last seven despite being severely undermanned. Now, SGA, Holmgren, Hartenstein and Caruso are off the injury report as OKC looks to build momentum heading into the stretch run.
LEG 1 - Cason Wallace Over 8.5 Points
Confidence is everything, and the recent absence of OKC’s stars has given Cason Wallace extended opportunity with the ball in his hands.
Even with SGA returning, I expect his minutes to be managed under 30. With Jalen Williams still sidelined, there’s no reason Wallace can’t continue scoring in the mid-teens.
He’s coming off back-to-back 27 and 20-point games, and dropped 27 on Denver in their last meeting — with SGA in the lineup.
LEG 2 - Julian Strawther 10+ Points
Strawther has been solid when starting for Denver, providing an additional scoring punch.
He’s averaging 15.6 points per game as a starter this season and has hit double figures in seven of eight starts.
LEG 3 - Nikola Jokic 12+ Rebounds
Jokic’s rebounding numbers have been elite.
The three-time MVP is averaging 13.6 rebounds across his last 14 games, clearing 12+ boards in 11 of those.
Without Gordon and Watson, Jokic’s rebound rate rises roughly 5% above his season average. Expect another dominant performance on the glass.
Same Game Multi
Wallace Over 8.5 Points / Strawther 10+ Points / Jokic 12+ Rebounds = $4.20
Value Bet - Cason Wallace 15+ Points @ $6.25
Can Wallace keep riding the wave?
With Jalen Williams still out and SGA likely to have managed minutes, the offensive opportunities remain there.
He’s coming off consecutive 20+ point games and scored 27 against Denver in their last meeting. At this price, the upside is hard to ignore.
