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Sunday NBA Tips – LeBron Goes Big Against Mavs

There are a handful of wildcard teams emerging from this Sunday slate. The Charlotte Hornets are suddenly dangerous, the Bulls have played themselves back into the playoff picture, and the Mavericks have won four straight out of nowhere.

LA Lakers @ Dallas Mavericks

The Lakers have come back to the pack in a big way, winning just three of their last nine games.

As for the Mavericks, Anthony Davis remains sidelined for an extended period, with Jason Kidd still experimenting with his starting lineups. Does Flagg run point, slide to shooting guard, or even operate at power forward?

Either way, Dallas has found something since Davis went down, winning four straight games led by the likes of Flagg and Naji Marshall.

LEG 1 - LeBron James 20+ Points

LeBron is averaging close to 26 points per game across the 16 contests he’s played this season without Austin Reaves.

He’s scored 20+ points in 14 of those 16 games. While he managed just 13 against Dallas last time out, that came in one of his first games back from injury earlier in the season.

LEG 2 - LeBron James 6+ Rebounds

LeBron’s rebounding numbers have also been strong.

In January, he’s averaging 7.5 rebounds across 11 games and has cleared 6+ boards in eight of those outings.

With the Mavericks conceding rebounds to power forwards at a rate 12% above league average over the past month, he should see plenty of opportunities on the glass.

LEG 3 - Naji Marshall Over 20.5 PA

Naji Marshall has been outstanding since Anthony Davis went down and has consistently stepped up in his expanded role.

Across the seven games since Davis’ injury, Marshall is averaging 26.4 points and assists combined — well clear of this 20.5 line.

He’s covered this number in six straight games and with the Lakers far from elite defensively, another strong outing shapes as likely.

SGM

LeBron 20+ Points / LeBron 6+ Rebounds / Marshall Over 20.5 PA = $4.00

VALUE BET

LeBron James Double Double @ $3.92

LeBron hasn’t recorded a double-double in his last six games, but he’s been knocking on the door almost every night.

In seven of his last 11 appearances, he’s either produced a double-double or fallen just one stat short, highlighting how live this market remains.

At a price of $3.92, this still represents value. The Dallas matchup suits LeBron, and he can get there through either rebounds or assists.

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