2025 AFL Round 15 Betting Predictions
Round 15 of the AFL season starts in Perth with the Dockers looking to make it 5 straight wins when they host the young Bombers at Optus Stadium on Thursday night footy. Here is a betting preview of every game this round.
Fremantle (8th) vs Essendon (12th)
The Dockers are heading into this clash with the Bombers riding a solid four-game winning streak and sitting 8th on the ladder. They’re coming off a tight Round 14 win over North Melbourne, getting over the line by just 6 points at Perth Stadium after slotting 10 goals. Their form has been impressive lately, with a 4-1 record in their last five games and an overall season record of 8 wins and 5 losses. Key players like Serong, who racked up 36 disposals, and Voss, who kicked 3 goals last week, are in good touch. Despite their solid form, the Dockers have some areas to clean up — they’re ranked near the bottom of the league in clearances (15th), disposals (17th), and tackles (15th), which could be a concern against a pressure-heavy Bombers outfit.
The Bombers have hit a rough patch lately, dropping their last three games and now sitting 12th on the ladder with a 6-7 record. They’re coming off a brutal 95-point loss to the Cats at the MCG, which definitely won't boost confidence heading into this clash with the Dockers. Their recent form hasn’t been great either, with just one win from their last five outings. While they’ve managed four wins at home (4-2), their away form has been shaky, going 2-5 on the road. Statistically, the Bombers are struggling in a few key areas — they rank near the bottom in clearances (16th), goals kicked (16th), inside 50s (18th), and tackles (17th). They’ll need to find a spark quickly if they’re going to turn things around.
Stadium Record
Fremantle are 4-1 in their last 5 games at this venue. Essendon are 3-2 in their last 5 games at this venue.
Head to Head Record
In the last 5 meetings, the Bombers have won 3 games against the Dockers.
Best Bet
The weather in Perth should see a close and low scoring game between these two sides and the Under is 7-0 when the Bombers play at night.
Same Game Multi
Luke Jackson should enjoy the conditions and a good matchup against Goldy. He's also kicked a goal in 7 straight games when the Dockers are favourites to win. The conditions should be great for Serong and Parish. Serong comes off 36 disposals last week and loves playing Essendon. He's got 30+ touches in his last 3 against them. Parish has returned from injury with 30 and 26 touches. He's past 25+ disposals in his last 6 games.
Luke Jackson Anytime Goalscorer / Serong 30+ disposals / Parish 25+ disposals = $3.70
Geelong Cats (2nd) vs Brisbane Lions (3rd)
The Cats are flying right now, sitting 2nd on the ladder with a 10-4 record and riding a five-game winning streak. They absolutely dominated the Bombers in Round 14, smashing them by 95 points at the MCG and kicking a massive 23 goals. Offensively and defensively, they’re right up there, ranked 1st in the AFL for both goals kicked and tackles. Their home record is solid at 5-1. Jeremy Cameron is leading the Coleman Medal race after booting 6 goals last week, bringing his season tally to 44, while Bailey Smith made a huge impact on return with 41 disposals. With five straight wins and form across the park, the Cats are shaping up as serious contenders.
The Lions head into this clash with the Cats sitting 3rd on the ladder with a 9-4 record, but they’ve hit a bit of a bump with back-to-back losses. Their most recent outing saw them go down by 11 points to the Giants at the Gabba. Despite the recent dip, the Lions have some serious strengths — they’re ranked 1st in the AFL for clearances, 2nd for disposals, and 4th for inside 50s, so they’re getting plenty of the ball and generating scoring chances. However, their tackling is a weak point, sitting 15th in the league. Their away form has been strong this season at 5-1-1. With 2 wins from their last 5 and a couple of narrow losses, they’ll be eager to bounce back against a red-hot Cats side.
Stadium Record
Geelong are 8-2 in their last 10 games at Kardinia Park. Brisbane are 0-3 at this venue since 2018.
Head to Head Record
In the last 10 meetings, the Cats hold a 6-4 record against the Lions.
Best Bet
The Lions love being an underdog, they're 12-0 ATS and usually matchup well with the Cats despite not winning a lot down in Geelong.
Carlton (10th) vs North Melbourne (16th)
The Blues come into this matchup with the Kangaroos sitting 10th on the ladder and building a bit of momentum after back-to-back wins. Their season record is 6-7, with 3 wins from their last 5 games. While the scoreboard was oddly blank in their last outing against the Eagles at Perth Stadium, key players still stood out — Hewett racked up 35 disposals with Walsh sidelined, while McGovern and Fogarty both chipped in with 3 goals. The Blues have been fairly even at home (3-0-3) and away (3-4), but their team stats are impressive. They’re ranked top five in the AFL for clearances, disposals, inside 50s, and tackles — showing they’re winning plenty of the footy and bringing pressure. If they keep that up, they should be well-placed to handle the Roos.
The Kangaroos head into their clash with the Blues sitting 16th on the ladder, with a 3-9 record for the season. They’re coming off a narrow 6-point loss to the Dockers over in Perth, where Nick Larkey stood tall with 3 goals in a gritty performance. While they’ve dropped 2 of their last 5, there have been signs of improvement. Their biggest strength is around the contest — they’re ranked 1st in the AFL for clearances, showing they can win the ball at the source. However, they’ve struggled to make the most of it going forward, ranking 16th for inside 50s.
Stadium Record
Carlton are 5-5 in their last 10 games at this venue. In their last 10 games at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, North Melbourne hold a 1-9 record.
Head to Head Record
The Blues are 6-3 against the Kangaroos since 2018.
Best Bet
Both sides come back from Perth so this could be a close game. The Roos have a 5-0 ATS record when they're playing with a rest advantage (Blues played 6 days ago, Roos 7 days ago).
Port Adelaide (11th) vs Sydney Swans (13th)
The Power come into their clash with the Swans sitting 11th on the ladder with a 6-7 record, but they’ve started to find a bit of form with two straight wins. Their most recent game was a tight one against the Demons at Adelaide Oval, where they went down by 0 points (score not recorded), but there were some standout performances — Georgiades booted 7 goals and Rozee picked up 32 disposals. Their home form has been solid at 4-0-3, but they’ve struggled a bit on the road with just 2 wins from 6 away games. One area that’s let them down is goal scoring, ranking 14th in the league, so converting their chances will be key. With a 2-3 record from their last 5, the Power are showing signs of a turnaround and will be looking to keep the momentum going against the Swans.
The Swans head into their clash with the Power sitting 13th on the ladder and coming off a solid 44-point win over Richmond in Round 13, where they slotted 11 goals at the MCG. They’ve had a week off with the bye, so they’ll be fresh and ready to go. Their season record sits at 5-8, with a 2-3 record over their last five games. While they’ve been a bit inconsistent, they’ll take some confidence from their most recent performance. Away from home, they’ve managed 3 wins from 7, while their home form has been less convincing at 2-4. One area they’ll want to tighten up is disposals — they’re ranked 14th in the AFL — but if they can bring the same energy they showed before the bye, they’ll be a real chance against the Power.
Stadium Record
Port Adelaide are 5-4 (1 draws) in their last 10 games at this venue. Sydney are 4-6 in their last 10 games at Adelaide Oval.
Head to Head Record
The Power are 4-1 against the Swans in the last 5.
Best Bet
The Power have an excellent record against Sydney in Adelaide and the Swans have been wildly inconsistent.
Collingwood (1st) vs St Kilda (14th)
The Magpies are sitting comfortably on top of the ladder with an impressive 11-2 record and are riding a five-game winning streak. They had the bye last round, but before that, they edged out Melbourne by just 1 point in a thriller at the MCG, kicking 11 goals. Their form has been red-hot — unbeaten in their last five — and they’ve been strong both at home (6-1) and on the road (5-1). Stat-wise, they’re doing plenty right, ranking 5th in the league for goals kicked and 4th for tackles, so they’re hitting the scoreboard and bringing the heat defensively. The Pies are in top form and will be tough to beat as they take on the Saints.
The Saints are doing it tough at the moment, sitting 14th on the ladder with a 5-8 record and just one win from their last five games. They’re coming off a heavy 72-point loss to the Bulldogs at Docklands, so they’ll be looking to bounce back hard against the top-of-the-table Magpies. Their home form hasn’t been great (3-5), and they’ve only managed 2 wins from 5 away. While they’re ranked 4th in the AFL for disposals — showing they can find plenty of the footy — they’ve struggled to make it count going forward, sitting 14th for inside 50 entries. They’ll need a big lift to match the Magpies, who are flying at the moment.
Stadium Record
Collingwood are 6-4 in their last 10 games at Marvel. St Kilda are 1-4 in their last 5 games at this venue.
Head to Head Record
In the last 5 meetings, the Magpies hold a 3-2 record against the Saints.
Best Bet
Marvel isn't a great place for the Pies as they hold a 1-8 ATS record and the Saints should be fired up after last week's terrible performance. Hopefully they bring their A game in defence to keep the margin under 5 goals.
GWS Giants (7th) vs Gold Coast Suns (6th)
The Giants are sitting 7th on the ladder with an 8-6 record and coming off a solid 11-point win over the Lions at the Gabba, where they kicked 17 goals. Hogan was a standout with 6 goals, and Whitfield piled on 33 disposals. They’ve been fairly consistent lately, winning 3 of their last 5 games, and their away form is pretty strong at 5-3, while their home record is an even 3-3. The Giants are great at getting the ball, ranking 3rd in the AFL for disposals, but they’ve had some trouble at the stoppages, sitting 14th for clearances. If they can keep winning the ball and improve their clearance work, they’ll be tough to beat against the Suns.
The Suns sit 6th on the ladder with an 8-4 record but have hit a bit of a rough patch, losing their last two games. They were knocked off by the Cats at Kardinia Park, going down 61-37, and had a bye last round to regroup. The Suns have been solid at home with a 4-1 record and a decent 4-3 away. They’re really strong at winning the ball — ranked 4th in the AFL for clearances and goals kicked, and they lead the league for inside 50 entries. Their only real weak spot is disposals, where they sit 15th, so if they can clean that up, they’ll be tough to stop.
Stadium Record
GWS are 7-3 in their last 10 games at this venue. Gold Coast are 0-5 at this venue since 2018.
Head to Head Record
The Giants are 4-1 against the Suns in the last 5.
Best Bet
The Suns don't have a good record at this stadium and the Giants are coming off a huge win over the Lions at the Gabba. So I think the home side will get the job done.
Western Bulldogs (9th) vs Richmond (17th)
The Bulldogs are coming off a massive 72-point win over St Kilda at Docklands in Round 14, where they fired 20 goals. They sit 9th on the ladder with a 7-6 record and just snapped a bit of a rough patch with that win. Their form over the last five games has been a bit up and down, winning 2 and losing 3, but they’ve shown they can perform both home and away — sitting 4-3 at home and 3-3 on the road. Key players like Dale, who had 36 touches, and Naughton and Darcy, both kicking 3 goals (with Darcy just back from injury), have been stepping up. The Bulldogs are strong across the board, ranking top 3 in the AFL for clearances, disposals, goals kicked, and inside 50s, making them a tough side to beat when firing.
The Tigers are really struggling this season, sitting 17th on the ladder with a 3-10 record and currently on a four-game losing streak. Their last game was a tough 44-point loss to the Swans at the MCG, and their form hasn’t been great overall, winning just one of their last five matches. They’ve had a nightmare away from home, failing to win any of their six road games. Stat-wise, they’re near the bottom in pretty much every key area — clearances, disposals, goals kicked, inside 50 entries, and tackling — all ranking in the last few spots across the AFL. It’s been a tough year for the Tigers, and they’ll need a big turnaround if they want to challenge the Bulldogs.
Stadium Record
The Bulldogs are 9-1 in their last 10 games at Marvel. Richmond are 1-8 (1 draws) in their last 10 games at this venue.
Head to Head Record
The Bulldogs are 3-2 against the Tigers in the last 5.
Best Bet
I think this will get ugly for the young Tigers. They have a poor record at Marvel, going 0-8 ATS at the venue. The Dogs love playing here and I can see a big win coming.
