Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans
The AFC South is on the line this Friday as the 6-4 Colts battle the 6-4 Texans. For the Colts, they snapped a 2 game skid with a 20 point win over the Jaguars as their running game dominated last week. As a team, they rushed for 264 yards and Williams/Mack both went over 100 yards. However, Mack will miss this clash with injury. So Colts QB Jacoby Brissett should enjoy a nice matchup against the struggling Texans defence. Last week, the Texans lost 41-7 in Baltimore as they were dominated in every aspect. They couldn’t protect DeShaun Jackson and their offence had limited chances of putting up points. Their defence is concerning after allowing 4 touchdowns in the air against Jackson as well and they’ll need to improve quickly on a short turnaround. The Colts have usually troubled the Texans with 4 wins in the last 5 and that includes a 30-23 victory earlier this season. So we have to like the Colts at the line. The Texans D will likely struggle to stop the Colts offence and that should be the key in a close divisional matchup.
Stadium Record
The Texans have won 9 of their last 12 at home. The Colts have a great record in Houston with 6 wins in the last 7.
Head to Head Record
Indianapolis beat the Texans 30-23 in mid-October and hold a 4-1 record in the last 5 meetings.
Best Bet
Dallas Cowboys at New England Patriots
Dallas heads to New England for a tough encounter against the 9-1 Patriots. The Cowboys are coming off a 35-27 win over the Lions and they’ll look to employ a heavy run game against this Patriots D. So look for Elliott to get plenty of the ball. But they’ll also be confident in the air after Prescott’s 444 yards and 3 TD performance against the Lions. New England is back at home after a pretty ugly road win over the Eagles in Philadelphia. Their offence hasn’t been great over the last 2 weeks but they usually turn it around on their home turf. The Pats are undefeated in their 4 home games this season and have scored 27 or more in those games. Their running game and pass protection should also improve with Wynn back at LT. Historically, the Under has a nice 7-1 record between these two sides and we’re not backing it against. The Patriots D has been unstoppable at home and they should be able to stop the Cowboys dynamic offence. Under is also 6-1 in the Cowboys last 7 road games against a team with a winning home record.
Stadium Record
In the last 2 seasons, New England is 13-0 at home. Dallas last played here in 2011 and lost 20-16.
Head to Head Record
New England has won the last 5 meetings with Dallas.
Best Bet
Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers
Green Bay leads the NFC North with an 8-2 record and they’ll look to consolidate their position this Monday. Coming into this game in San Francisco, the Packers will be fresh from the bye and a 24-16 victory over Carolina at home previously. Their offence continues to play well with Aaron Rodgers leading the way and he now has favourite target Davante Adams back from injury. They just need to keep improving on defence before the playoffs. San Francisco owns the best record in the NFC at 9-1 and they’ve been hard to beat at home with 4 wins from 5. However, the Seahawks did knock them off a few weeks ago and the 49ers weren’t overly impressive against the Cardinals last week. They couldn’t get their running game going but were saved by a 4 TD performance by QB Jimmy G. On defence, they’ll look to force Rodgers into mistakes and hopefully, keep their offence on the sidelines. Green Bay has a good record over the 49ers with a 6-2-1 ATS record in the last 9 meetings. So we like their chances of keeping this one close if their run D can stop the 49ers offence from moving the chains.
Stadium Record
The 49ers are 4-1 in their last 5 home games. Green Bay has won 7 of their last 10 in San Francisco.
Head to Head Record
Green Bay beat the 49ers 33-30 last season and they’ve won 6 of the last 10 meetings.
Best Bet
Baltimore Ravens at Los Angeles Rams
Baltimore is the hottest team in the NFL with 6 straight wins and they’ll be hard to stop again this Tuesday. Lamar Jackson tossed 4 touchdowns in the Ravens thrashing of the Texans last week (41-7). They’re easily the best running team in the NFL with Jackson’s speed and the one-two punch of Ingram/Edwards. Meanwhile, their defence is just as strong and they’ve allowed just 10 points per game in their last 2 outings. Los Angeles earned a much needed win last week as they beat the Bears 17-7. They can still make the playoffs with 6 games left but it starts with winning this crucial home matchup. Jared Goff should get Robert Woods back after he missed last week’s game and there’s a chance Brandin Cooks (concussion) returns as well. Their defence has been decent against the run this season so that’ll be the key in stopping the Ravens. Tough to bet against Baltimore at the moment as they’re scoring a mountain of points and their defence is benefiting. They’re 6-1-1 ATS on the road and have won 5 of their last 7 games against the Rams.
Stadium Record
Baltimore is yet to play at this venue. The Rams are 3-2 at home this season.
Head to Head Record
Since 1996, the Ravens have won 4 of the 6 meetings, including a 16-13 victory in 2015.
Best Bet
Other NFL Week 12 Tips
| Game | Venue | Best Bet |
|---|---|---|
| Denver Broncos at Buffalo Bills | New Era Field | Bills -5 $2.09 |
| New York Giants at Chicago Bears | Soldier Field | UNDER 42.5 $1.90 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals | Paul Brown Stadium | UNDER 40.5 $1.73 |
| Miami Dolphins at Cleveland Browns | FirstEnergy Stadium | Dolphins +11 $1.87 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons | Mercedes-Benz Stadium | UNDER 50.5 $2.05 |
| Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints | Mercedes-Benz Superdome | OVER 44.5 $1.68 |
| Oakland Raiders at New York Jets | MetLife Stadium | OVER 44.5 $1.76 |
| Detroit Lions at Washington Redskins | FedEx Field | OVER 40.5 $1.73 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans | Nissan Stadium | UNDER 40.5 $1.96 |
| Seattle Seahawks at Philadelphia Eagles | Lincoln Financial Field | UNDER 48.5 $1.85 |
